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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 100% | +1 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| December 31 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 198d |  0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd4 fills | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $30,911 | +$32 +0.1% | 2 |
| 199d | Trustinghorse | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,090 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 289d |  NihilisticMeerkat | December 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,272 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 289d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | December 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,115 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 335d |  luckygotome | December 31 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$220 +17% | 2 |
This is a market on whether any crypto project or exchange suffers an exploit or hack of value at least $100 million USD equivalent between November 3 12:30PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Decentralized exchanges and lending protocol hacks will count. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Rekt News leaderboard (https://rekt.news/leaderboard/), however a credible consensus of reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for December 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 100%.