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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| iPhone 100+ times | 100% | −4 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Apple 50+ times | 100% | −2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| iPhone 50+ times | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Camera 5+ | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 7+ times | 100% | +14 pts | +23 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Artificial Intelligence | 0% | −78 pts | −67 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump | 0% | +1 pts | −2 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Inflation | 0% | +2 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Steve Jobs | 0% | −1 pts | +12 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| M5 | 0% | +8 pts | +4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| India | 0% | −8 pts | −12 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Tariffs | 0% | +5 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Revolutionary | 0% | +11 pts | +3 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Next Generation | 100% | +4 pts | +8 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China | 0% | +4 pts | +3 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Battery 5+ | 100% | +1 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 403d |  lranon | Camera 5+ | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 403d | megaelephant21 | Inflation | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,437 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 403d | Smurfcat | Inflation | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,534 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 403d |  AgricultureSecretary | Steve Jobs | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,172 | +$13 +1.1% | 20 |
| 403d |  Dropper | iPhone 100+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,941 | +$30 +1.0% | 20 |
| 403d |  noreasapa | iPhone 50+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,107 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 403d | AgricultureSecretary | Camera 5+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,363 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 403d |  LINKEIN | Camera 5+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,087 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 403d | displaynym | iPhone 100+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,493 | +$75 +3.0% | 20 |
| 403d | noreasapa | Apple 50+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,531 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 403d |  aenews2 | iPhone 50+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,057 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 411d | lranon | Camera 5+ | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | +$23 +2.1% | 20 |
| 413d | POWERSLAP-EXPERT | Apple 50+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | +$37 +3.5% | 20 |
| 415d |  Danico | iPhone 100+ times | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,439 | −$1,439 −100% | 20 |
| 415d | aenews22 fills | iPhone 100+ times | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $3,401 | +$2,401 +71% | 20 |
Maskache532 shares
boogz500 sharesApple has scheduled a launch event for September 9, 2025, 1 PM ET. (https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/26/apple-announces-iphone-launch-on-sept-9-.html) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for iPhone 100+ times means the market gives it about 100%.