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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 380-399 | 100% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <20 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-39 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-59 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-79 | 0% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80-99 | 0% | −1 pts | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 100-119 | 0% | 0 pts | — | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 120-139 | 0% | −1 pts | — | 6¢ · 7¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| 140-159 | 0% | −2 pts | — | 11¢ · 12¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| 160-179 | 0% | — | — | 12¢ · 13¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| 180-199 | 0% | — | — | 16¢ · 17¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| 200-219 | 0% | +2 pts | — | 15¢ · 17¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| 220-239 | 0% | +1 pts | — | 12¢ · 13¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| 240-259 | 0% | +1 pts | — | 8¢ · 9¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| 260-279 | 0% | +1 pts | — | 6¢ · 7¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| 280-299 | 0% | 0 pts | — | 4¢ · 4¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 300-319 | 0% | −2 pts | — | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 320-339 | 0% | +1 pts | — | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 340-359 | 0% | −2 pts | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 360-379 | 0% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 400-419 | 0% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 420-439 | 0% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 440-459 | 0% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 460-479 | 0% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 480-499 | 0% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 500+ | 0% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 152d | quantiropeorini | 500+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,109 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 153d | HuatzTTM | 500+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 153d |  loser-star | 40-59 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,547 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 153d | Enchanting-Carotene | 40-59 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,020 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 153d | Smart-Pronoun | 40-59 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,335 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 153d |  Annica | 140-159 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,274 | +$159 +13% | 20 |
| 153d | osirisbast1 | 440-459 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,070 | +$20 +0.2% | 20 |
| 153d | opaoraisista | 460-479 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,016 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 153d | hulitest2025 | 480-499 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 153d |  Boss72 fills | 60-79 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,123 | +$15 +0.3% | 20 |
| 153d | Boss7 | 460-479 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,027 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 153d | Boss7 | 480-499 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,027 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 153d | Boss7 | 500+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,268 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
52011110 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 19 12:00 PM ET to May 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 380-399 means the market gives it about 100%.