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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 331d |  Allinnothing3 fills | Cloudflare outage caused by state actor? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,667 | −$11 −0.3% | — |
| 332d | LBZone2 fills | Cloudflare outage caused by state actor? | BuyNo>99¢ | $42,572 | +$176 +0.4% | 4 |
| 333d | Allinnothing2 fills | Cloudflare outage caused by state actor? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,297 | +$44 +1.3% | 4 |
idontknowwhatimdoinglol500 sharesOn November 18, massive internet service outages were reported by Cloudflare affecting a wide variety of popular services, including X, ChatGPT, and others. You can read more about that here: https://www.independent.co.uk/tech/cloudflare-down-twitter-not-working-outage-b2867367.html This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the mentioned November 18, 2025 outages were caused by a hack, and that that hack was perpetrated by a state actor, by November 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. "A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity which caused the outage. A "state actor" is defined as an entity whose actions are legally or politically attributable to a sovereign state. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from relevant companies and governments, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.