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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac | 50% | −37 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +11 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac Set 1 Winner | 50% | +5 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | −12 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | −1 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | −4 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | −5 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | −1 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | −1 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | −19 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 184d | mono23932 fills | Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac | BuyTomas Machac50¢ | $9,737 | $0 0.0% | 4 |
| 184d | Unnatural-Destination | Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac | BuyTomas Machac50¢ | $1,290 | $0 0.0% | 7 |
| 184d | mono2393 | Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac | SellCarlos Alcaraz50¢ | $5,796 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 184d |  lockrobster | Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac | SellCarlos Alcaraz50¢ | $5,358 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 184d | mono2393 | Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac | BuyCarlos Alcaraz51¢ → 50¢ | $5,824 | −$114 −2.0% | 4 |
| 184d | Pessimistic-Vault | Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac | SellCarlos Alcaraz50¢ | $2,987 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 185d | medcertdoc | Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac | SellCarlos Alcaraz50¢ | $1,259 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 185d | bob67 | Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac | SellCarlos Alcaraz50¢ | $1,368 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 185d | dontsaymyname | Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac | SellTomas Machac49¢ → 50¢ | $6,819 | −$139 −2.0% | — |
| 185d | leegunner | Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac | SellCarlos Alcaraz50¢ | $1,293 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 185d | MoranteDeLaPuebla | Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac | SellTomas Machac49¢ → 50¢ | $2,369 | −$48 −2.0% | — |
| 185d | flook | Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac | SellCarlos Alcaraz50¢ | $1,228 | +$1 +0.1% | — |
| 185d | swisstony3 fills | Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac | BuyCarlos Alcaraz84¢ → 50¢ | $4,102 | −$1,669 −41% | 4 |
| 185d | lockrobster2 fills | Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac | BuyCarlos Alcaraz84¢ → 50¢ | $8,984 | −$3,652 −41% | 4 |
| 185d | Pessimistic-Vault2 fills | Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac | BuyCarlos Alcaraz85¢ → 50¢ | $4,222 | −$1,744 −41% | 5 |
| 185d | yesmate | Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac | BuyTomas Machac16¢ → 50¢ | $1,050 | +$2,231 +213% | 4 |
| 185d | Sane-Warrant | Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac | BuyCarlos Alcaraz85¢ → 50¢ | $1,958 | −$806 −41% | 7 |
| 185d | yupiiiiiiiii | Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac | SellCarlos Alcaraz86¢ → 50¢ | $1,243 | +$520 +42% | — |
| 185d | dontsaymyname | Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac | BuyTomas Machac14¢ → 50¢ | $1,897 | +$4,877 +257% | 4 |
| 185d | medcertdoc | Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac | BuyCarlos Alcaraz87¢ → 50¢ | $2,183 | −$928 −43% | 4 |
| 185d | 08AF | Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac | BuyCarlos Alcaraz87¢ → 50¢ | $1,778 | −$756 −43% | 4 |
| 185d | flook | Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac | BuyCarlos Alcaraz88¢ → 50¢ | $2,152 | −$929 −43% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Tomas Machac in the Barcelona Open, originally scheduled for April 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Tomas Machac. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Carlos Alcaraz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac means the market gives it about 50%.