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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 221d | esportskings | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellCarlos Alcaraz>99¢ | $2,724 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 221d |  Boss7 | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellCarlos Alcaraz>99¢ | $7,018 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 221d | Squash8348 | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellCarlos Alcaraz>99¢ | $1,800 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 221d | Pale-Training | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellCarlos Alcaraz>99¢ | $1,022 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 221d | Flickering-Dome | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellCarlos Alcaraz>99¢ | $1,225 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 221d | mono2393 | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellCarlos Alcaraz>99¢ | $11,929 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 221d | gjfdk8ef4gty6 | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellCarlos Alcaraz>99¢ | $4,163 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 221d | Luisfero16 | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellCarlos Alcaraz>99¢ | $1,028 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 221d | pelik | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | BuyOver 2.5>99¢ | $2,225 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 221d | Blissful-Swath | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellCarlos Alcaraz>99¢ | $4,824 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 221d | tcp2 | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellCarlos Alcaraz>99¢ | $3,021 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 221d | toanhtoanh6 fills | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz>99¢ | $45,888 | +$138 +0.3% | 4 |
| 221d |  ScroooogeMcDuck | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz>99¢ | $45,806 | +$97 +0.2% | 4 |
| 221d | Boss72 fills | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz99¢ → 100¢ | $6,959 | +$66 +1.0% | 4 |
| 221d | toanhtoanh | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | BuyOver 2.5>99¢ | $4,389 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 221d |  checo123 | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz>99¢ | $1,567 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 221d | swisstony5 fills | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz91¢ → 100¢ | $7,696 | +$744 +9.7% | 5 |
| 221d | laissezfaire | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz98¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | +$41 +2.0% | 4 |
| 221d | smittens | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz97¢ → 100¢ | $2,998 | +$106 +3.5% | 4 |
| 221d | Luisfero16 | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz98¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$26 +2.5% | 4 |
| 221d | sovereign20136 fills | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz81¢ → 100¢ | $15,448 | +$3,719 +24% | 5 |
| 221d | BTCFudder4 fills | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz89¢ → 100¢ | $7,200 | +$922 +13% | 5 |
| 221d | KevinChe2026032 fills | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz88¢ → 100¢ | $11,471 | +$1,530 +13% | 5 |
| 221d | CaballoParaguallo | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech14¢ → 0¢ | $2,011 | −$2,011 −100% | 6 |
| 221d | Massive-PoignanceNew account | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz87¢ → 100¢ | $4,123 | +$621 +15% | 9 |
| 221d | CaballoParaguallo | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellArthur Rinderknech12¢ → 0¢ | $2,011 | +$2,011 +100% | — |
| 221d | mono23932 fills | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz87¢ → 100¢ | $10,363 | +$1,578 +15% | 5 |
| 221d | Blissful-Swath2 fills | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz86¢ → 100¢ | $3,642 | +$577 +16% | 5 |
| 221d | Ilgato | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellCarlos Alcaraz82¢ → 100¢ | $18,828 | −$4,170 −22% | — |
| 221d | sovereign20134 fills | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech20¢ → 0¢ | $5,602 | −$5,602 −100% | 6 |
| 221d | Recent-Monument2 fills | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz86¢ → 100¢ | $6,046 | +$967 +16% | 6 |
| 221d |  ACEE123 | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz88¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | +$180 +14% | 5 |
| 221d | moonwing | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellCarlos Alcaraz87¢ → 100¢ | $2,307 | −$343 −15% | — |
| 221d | gjfdk8ef4gty62 fills | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz83¢ → 100¢ | $3,456 | +$711 +21% | 5 |
| 221d | Sane-Locality | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellArthur Rinderknech20¢ → 0¢ | $2,048 | +$2,048 +100% | — |
| 221d | kahe | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz80¢ → 100¢ | $4,400 | +$1,100 +25% | 5 |
| 221d | Honorable-Progenitor2 fills | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz88¢ → 100¢ | $37,350 | +$5,173 +14% | 5 |
| 221d | JayBird87 | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz84¢ → 100¢ | $1,431 | +$273 +19% | 5 |
| 221d | Honorable-Progenitor | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellCarlos Alcaraz77¢ → 100¢ | $14,057 | −$4,214 −30% | — |
| 221d |  RN12 fills | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech43¢ → 0¢ | $3,658 | −$3,658 −100% | 6 |
| 221d | cripes3 | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz55¢ → 100¢ | $1,919 | +$1,557 +81% | 6 |
| 221d |  GamblingIsAllYouNeed7 fills | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech45¢ → 0¢ | $7,900 | −$7,900 −100% | 6 |
| 221d | esportskings | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz66¢ → 100¢ | $1,799 | +$928 +52% | 6 |
| 221d | Sane-Locality | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech24¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 6 |
| 221d | Squash8348 | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz76¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$318 +31% | 6 |
| 221d |  agustindrombola | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellArthur Rinderknech24¢ → 0¢ | $1,479 | +$1,479 +100% | — |
| 221d | firstcyle | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz93¢ → 100¢ | $5,035 | +$380 +7.5% | 4 |
| 221d | GamblingIsAllYouNeed | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz92¢ → 100¢ | $1,674 | +$146 +8.7% | 5 |
| 221d | Used-Efficiency | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz95¢ → 100¢ | $2,130 | +$119 +5.6% | 4 |
| 221d | feifei-85111 | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz94¢ → 100¢ | $2,250 | +$144 +6.4% | 4 |
| 221d | apt-3.9 | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz94¢ → 100¢ | $2,250 | +$144 +6.4% | 4 |
| 221d | tato14 | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz97¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$47 +3.1% | 4 |
| 221d | yupiiiiiiiii | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz96¢ → 100¢ | $1,709 | +$75 +4.4% | 4 |
| 221d | Flickering-Dome | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz96¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | +$44 +3.8% | 4 |
| 221d | 08AF10 fills | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz96¢ → 100¢ | $127,304 | +$4,939 +3.9% | 4 |
| 221d | Dankuruso | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz96¢ → 100¢ | $3,456 | +$140 +4.1% | 4 |
| 221d | dougfresh | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz96¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$75 +3.7% | 4 |
| 221d | vincentchase11 | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz96¢ → 100¢ | $50,000 | +$1,897 +3.8% | 4 |
| 221d |  ComingBack | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz96¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$198 +4.0% | 4 |
| 221d | roodbaard | BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyCarlos Alcaraz96¢ → 100¢ | $16,600 | +$688 +4.1% | 4 |
This market refers on the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Arthur Rinderknech in the BNP Paribas Open, scheduled for March 9 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Arthur Rinderknech. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Carlos Alcaraz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech Total Sets: O/U 2.5 means the market gives it about 100%.