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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +65 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 Winner | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −78 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −57 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −71 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 161d | Ivanet109 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | SellAlexander Bublik>99¢ | $1,557 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 161d | MilesY | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | SellAlexander Bublik>99¢ | $6,803 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 161d | rndmb3 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | SellAlexander Bublik>99¢ | $1,835 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 161d | eokho | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | SellAlexander Bublik>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 161d | idbuachale | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | SellAlexander Bublik>99¢ | $3,145 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 161d | DogecoinMillionaire | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | SellAlexander Bublik>99¢ | $3,947 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 161d | HowieRatner | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | SellAlexander Bublik>99¢ | $1,693 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 161d | Jittery-Birth-ResponseNew account | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | SellAlexander Bublik>99¢ | $51,040 | −$51 −0.1% | — |
| 161d | greek404 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | SellAlexander Bublik>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 161d |  Schafbergballs | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | SellAlexander Bublik>99¢ | $1,191 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 161d | Spiffy-Ambiguity-CodepageNew account | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | SellAlexander Bublik>99¢ | $1,236 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 162d | Jittery-Birth-ResponseNew account | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | BuyAlexander Bublik90¢ → 100¢ | $46,000 | +$5,091 +11% | 8 |
| 162d | Spiffy-Ambiguity-CodepageNew account | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | BuyAlexander Bublik97¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$37 +3.1% | 4 |
| 162d | kahe | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | BuyAlexander Bublik95¢ → 100¢ | $12,691 | +$668 +5.3% | 4 |
| 162d | hybridfar | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | BuyAlexander Bublik95¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$237 +5.3% | 4 |
| 162d | Max1609 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | BuyAlexander Bublik92¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$915 +9.1% | 5 |
| 162d | Xsxzcl | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | SellAlexander Bublik84¢ → 100¢ | $1,031 | −$196 −19% | — |
| 162d | 08AF | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | BuyAlexander Bublik86¢ → 100¢ | $5,172 | +$842 +16% | 5 |
| 162d | eokho | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | BuyAlexander Bublik78¢ → 100¢ | $3,900 | +$1,100 +28% | 5 |
| 162d | HomeRunHazard | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | BuySebastian Baez23¢ → 0¢ | $1,670 | −$1,670 −100% | 6 |
| 162d |  TRCM | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | SellAlexander Bublik76¢ → 100¢ | $3,305 | −$1,044 −32% | — |
| 162d | TRCM | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | BuyAlexander Bublik74¢ → 100¢ | $3,311 | +$1,163 +35% | 6 |
| 162d | swisstony2 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | BuyAlexander Bublik70¢ → 100¢ | $2,675 | +$1,131 +42% | 6 |
| 162d | TRCM | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | SellSebastian Baez26¢ → 0¢ | $1,191 | +$1,191 +100% | — |
| 162d |  tradecraft | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | SellSebastian Baez26¢ → 0¢ | $2,018 | +$2,018 +100% | — |
| 162d | DogecoinMillionaire | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | BuyAlexander Bublik66¢ → 100¢ | $2,608 | +$1,343 +52% | 6 |
| 162d | ferrariChampions2026 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | BuyAlexander Bublik66¢ → 100¢ | $4,265 | +$2,197 +52% | 6 |
| 162d | PeterSagan | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | BuySebastian Baez43¢ → 0¢ | $1,472 | −$1,472 −100% | 6 |
| 162d | ferrariChampions2026 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | BuySebastian Baez44¢ → 0¢ | $1,392 | −$1,392 −100% | 6 |
| 162d | TRCM | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | BuySebastian Baez42¢ → 0¢ | $2,525 | −$2,525 −100% | 6 |
| 162d | tradecraft | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | BuySebastian Baez42¢ → 0¢ | $2,520 | −$2,520 −100% | 6 |
| 162d | MilesY | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | BuyAlexander Bublik59¢ → 100¢ | $4,009 | +$2,786 +69% | 6 |
| 162d | idbuachale | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | BuyAlexander Bublik59¢ → 100¢ | $1,853 | +$1,288 +69% | 6 |
| 162d | rndmb3 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | BuyAlexander Bublik59¢ → 100¢ | $1,084 | +$753 +69% | 6 |
| 162d | Thebigshot | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | BuySebastian Baez42¢ → 0¢ | $3,108 | −$3,108 −100% | 6 |
| 162d | askilika | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | BuyAlexander Bublik59¢ → 100¢ | $12,000 | +$8,247 +69% | 6 |
| 162d | TheCheatCode | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | BuyAlexander Bublik59¢ → 100¢ | $2,987 | +$2,076 +69% | 6 |
| 162d | robertoppen | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik | BuyAlexander Bublik59¢ → 100¢ | $1,345 | +$935 +69% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Alexander Bublik in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Alexander Bublik. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against Sebastian Baez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublik Set Handicap +/-1.5 means the market gives it about 100%.