Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 Winner | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 Winner | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot Game Spread +/-4.5 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +21 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | pacopaquitopaco | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot | SellValentin Vacherot>99¢ | $1,623 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 7d | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot>99¢ | $7,265 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 7d | dmoralez5 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot94¢ → 100¢ | $22,107 | +$1,431 +6.5% | 4 |
| 7d | HomeRunHazard3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot93¢ → 100¢ | $8,281 | +$584 +7.1% | 4 |
| 7d | dmoralez5 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot | SellValentin Vacherot94¢ → 100¢ | $10,515 | −$640 −6.1% | — |
| 7d | jujutsukaisen9 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot | SellValentin Vacherot90¢ → 100¢ | $13,999 | −$1,491 −11% | — |
| 7d | UpTheBlues4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot88¢ → 100¢ | $6,198 | +$855 +14% | 5 |
| 7d | donaldbush | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot91¢ → 100¢ | $7,280 | +$720 +9.9% | 5 |
| 7d | pacopaquitopaco | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot91¢ → 100¢ | $1,479 | +$146 +9.9% | 5 |
| 7d | praba84 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot | SellValentin Vacherot90¢ → 100¢ | $4,173 | −$464 −11% | — |
| 7d | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot78¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$313 +28% | 5 | |
| 7d | bestevertodoit | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot | BuySebastian Baez26¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 7d | Luzzzer | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot | BuySebastian Baez27¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 6 |
| 7d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot | BuySebastian Baez25¢ → 0¢ | $7,319 | −$7,319 −100% | 6 |
| 7d | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot | BuySebastian Baez26¢ → 0¢ | $1,560 | −$1,560 −100% | 6 | |
| 7d | HomeRunHazard | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot | BuySebastian Baez25¢ → 0¢ | $1,218 | −$1,218 −100% | 6 |
| 7d | ChallengerSpecialist | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot76¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$494 +31% | 6 |
| 7d | jujutsukaisen9 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot77¢ → 100¢ | $11,976 | +$3,491 +29% | 6 |
| 7d | nuuki | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot | BuySebastian Baez24¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 6 |
| 7d | jtwyslljy | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot74¢ → 100¢ | $3,848 | +$1,352 +35% | 6 |
| 7d | omnibus-076daa3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot75¢ → 100¢ | $15,897 | +$5,224 +33% | 4 |
| 7d | ferrariChampions2026 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot75¢ → 100¢ | $3,233 | +$1,078 +33% | 6 |
| 7d | k56 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot73¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$727 +36% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Valentin Vacherot in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Valentin Vacherot. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Sebastian Baez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot means the market gives it about 0%.