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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka Game Spread +/-4.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka Set 2 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35d | Triplosettete | Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka | SellIlya Ivashka>99¢ | $1,033 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 35d | name-no-name | Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka | SellIlya Ivashka>99¢ | $5,581 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 35d | py3-888 | Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka | SellIlya Ivashka>99¢ | $2,073 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 35d | UpTheBlues4 fills | Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka | BuyIlya Ivashka98¢ → 100¢ | $11,074 | +$267 +2.4% | 4 |
| 35d | Triplosettete | Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka | BuyIlya Ivashka97¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$29 +2.9% | 4 |
| 35d | Flaznorp4 fills | Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka | BuyIlya Ivashka97¢ → 100¢ | $70,928 | +$2,194 +3.1% | 4 |
| 35d | xabidaking | Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka | BuyLuca Castelnuovo9¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 6 |
| 35d | Sane-Locality | Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka | BuyLuca Castelnuovo22¢ → 0¢ | $2,467 | −$2,467 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Castelnuovo and Ilya Ivashka in the Shanghai, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castelnuovo' if Luca Castelnuovo advances against Ilya Ivashka. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ivashka' if Ilya Ivashka advances against Luca Castelnuovo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka means the market gives it about 0%.