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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov Game Spread +/-3.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov Set 2 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 3¢ | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25d | Kalahanda | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | SellPavel Kotov>99¢ | $2,925 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | redvinny | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | SellPavel Kotov>99¢ | $4,440 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | Buenashg | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | SellPavel Kotov99¢ → 100¢ | $1,643 | −$17 −1.0% | — |
| 25d | redvinny | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov89¢ → 100¢ | $3,955 | +$489 +12% | 5 |
| 25d | NS1314 fills | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | BuyLuca Castelnuovo15¢ → 0¢ | $29,900 | −$29,900 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | Stavaharon | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | SellPavel Kotov93¢ → 100¢ | $5,028 | −$378 −7.5% | — |
| 25d |  Marcoli | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov86¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$1,628 +16% | 5 |
| 25d | NS1312 fills | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov58¢ → 100¢ | $56,457 | +$40,244 +71% | 6 |
| 25d | omnibus-076daa3 fills | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | BuyLuca Castelnuovo36¢ → 0¢ | $3,714 | −$3,714 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | ferrariChampions2026 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | BuyLuca Castelnuovo30¢ → 0¢ | $1,317 | −$1,317 −100% | 6 |
| 25d |  RN1 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | BuyLuca Castelnuovo29¢ → 0¢ | $1,650 | −$1,650 −100% | 6 |
| 25d |  tradecraft | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov90¢ → 100¢ | $4,499 | +$501 +11% | 5 |
| 25d |  TRCM | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov90¢ → 100¢ | $1,433 | +$159 +11% | 5 |
| 25d | flatbarrel | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov90¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$500 +11% | 5 |
| 25d |  PO-lfds444 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | BuyLuca Castelnuovo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | Buenashg | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov65¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$581 +54% | 6 |
| 25d | Exalted-Evocation | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | SellPavel Kotov65¢ → 100¢ | $1,845 | −$1,012 −55% | — |
| 25d | Infantile-Harmonica | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | SellPavel Kotov65¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | −$556 −54% | — |
| 25d | Carlos10 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | BuyLuca Castelnuovo66¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 25d |  kashmiri1992 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | SellLuca Castelnuovo65¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | +$1,300 +100% | — |
| 25d | kashmiri1992 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | BuyLuca Castelnuovo62¢ → 0¢ | $1,240 | −$1,240 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | Kalahanda | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov34¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,928 +193% | 6 |
| 25d | watcherz883 fills | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | BuyLuca Castelnuovo67¢ → 0¢ | $17,259 | −$17,259 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov34¢ → 100¢ | $3,789 | +$7,431 +196% | 6 |
| 25d | thestingsnake | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | SellLuca Castelnuovo68¢ → 0¢ | $1,988 | +$1,988 +100% | — |
| 25d | Stavaharon | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov35¢ → 100¢ | $1,892 | +$3,514 +186% | 6 |
| 25d | Generous-Burning | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | BuyLuca Castelnuovo66¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | Exalted-Evocation | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | BuyPavel Kotov35¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,857 +186% | 6 |
| 25d | xabidaking | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov | BuyLuca Castelnuovo32¢ → 0¢ | $2,450 | −$2,450 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov Game Spread +/-3.5 | BuyLuca Castelnuovo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,134 +76% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Castelnuovo and Pavel Kotov in the Chengdu Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castelnuovo' if Luca Castelnuovo advances against Pavel Kotov. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Kotov' if Pavel Kotov advances against Luca Castelnuovo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov means the market gives it about 0%.