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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldi | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldi Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldi Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldi Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldi Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 170d | Bigboybandi | Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $15,092 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 170d | DogecoinMillionaire | Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $2,346 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 170d | Sour-Basket | Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $1,946 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 170d |  GetOffMyDikerson | Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi97¢ → 100¢ | $3,179 | +$98 +3.1% | 4 |
| 170d | swisstony | Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi98¢ → 100¢ | $3,051 | +$62 +2.0% | 4 |
| 170d |  tradecraft2 fills | Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi58¢ → 100¢ | $5,123 | +$3,636 +71% | 6 |
| 170d | Exalted-Evocation | Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi71¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$2,067 +41% | 6 |
| 170d | Bigboybandi | Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi66¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$5,108 +51% | 6 |
| 170d | Sour-Basket | Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi77¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$448 +30% | 6 |
| 170d | DogecoinMillionaire | Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi44¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | +$1,315 +127% | 6 |
Goazen1,070 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Matteo Arnaldi in the Cagliari, originally scheduled for April 30, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Matteo Arnaldi. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldi means the market gives it about 0%.