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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Porto 2: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Luca Potenza | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19d | Steveti | Porto 2: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Luca Potenza | SellLuca Potenza>99¢ | $2,161 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 19d | Steveti | Porto 2: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Luca Potenza | BuyLuca Potenza92¢ → 100¢ | $1,990 | +$173 +8.7% | 5 |
| 19d | Porto 2: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Luca Potenza | BuyLuca Potenza87¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$150 +15% | 5 | |
| 19d | Ilgato | Porto 2: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Luca Potenza | BuyLuca Potenza80¢ → 100¢ | $2,008 | +$517 +26% | 5 |
| 19d | Kalahanda | Porto 2: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Luca Potenza | BuyIvan Marrero Curbelo32¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Ivan Marrero Curbelo and Luca Potenza in the Porto 2, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Marrero Curbelo' if Ivan Marrero Curbelo advances against Luca Potenza. This market will resolve to 'Luca Potenza' if Luca Potenza advances against Ivan Marrero Curbelo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Completed Match means the market gives it about 100%.