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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Shintaro Mochizuki | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Shintaro Mochizuki Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 1 Winner | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 Winner | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Shintaro Mochizuki Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −59 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Shintaro Mochizuki Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Shintaro Mochizuki Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −80 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23d | UpTheBlues11 fills | Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Shintaro Mochizuki | BuyMartin Damm94¢ → 100¢ | $21,142 | +$1,348 +6.4% | 4 |
| 23d | Flaznorp | Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Shintaro Mochizuki | BuyMartin Damm97¢ → 100¢ | $6,729 | +$222 +3.3% | 4 |
| 23d | Kl1023yx3 fills | Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Shintaro Mochizuki | BuyShintaro Mochizuki25¢ → 0¢ | $5,766 | −$5,766 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | Substantial-Service | Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Shintaro Mochizuki | BuyMartin Damm66¢ → 100¢ | $14,656 | +$7,550 +52% | 6 |
| 23d | Kkunn | Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Shintaro Mochizuki | BuyMartin Damm67¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,478 +49% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Damm and Shintaro Mochizuki in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Damm' if Martin Damm advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Martin Damm. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Shintaro Mochizuki means the market gives it about 100%.