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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | — | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur Game Spread +/-2.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 Winner | 50% | — | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | 0xdeff…78f8 | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SellNovak Djokovic>99¢ | $2,543 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | erlinghal21 | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SellNovak Djokovic>99¢ | $1,238 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | Superficial-Greenhouse | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SellNovak Djokovic>99¢ | $1,596 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | benkasai23 | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SellNovak Djokovic>99¢ | $1,630 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | Spotless-Girlfriend | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SellNovak Djokovic>99¢ | $6,927 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 11d |  Lanilo | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SellNovak Djokovic>99¢ | $1,555 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | horrocrux | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SellNovak Djokovic>99¢ | $21,776 | −$22 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | Enraged-Planning-Transformation | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SellNovak Djokovic>99¢ | $6,665 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | rambo2233 | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SellNovak Djokovic>99¢ | $1,359 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | 0x982f…4d1f | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SellNovak Djokovic>99¢ | $2,149 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 11d |  88M | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | SellOver 2.550¢ | $2,477 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 11d | blket | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SellNovak Djokovic>99¢ | $1,561 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | User.0xE | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SellNovak Djokovic>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 11d |  ChristianWolff | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SellNovak Djokovic99¢ → 100¢ | $1,552 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 11d | realmadrid090 | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SellNovak Djokovic99¢ → 100¢ | $1,483 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 11d | Mundane-Band | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SellNovak Djokovic99¢ → 100¢ | $3,545 | −$36 −1.0% | — |
| 11d | Refaelnadal | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SellNovak Djokovic99¢ → 100¢ | $1,784 | −$18 −1.0% | — |
| 11d | Authorized-Gazelle | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SellNovak Djokovic99¢ → 100¢ | $5,934 | −$60 −1.0% | — |
| 11d | mattjay | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SellNovak Djokovic99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 11d | Cavernous-Undershirt | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SellNovak Djokovic99¢ → 100¢ | $1,238 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 11d | copicoyyy | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SellNovak Djokovic99¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 11d | suntori2 fills | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SellNovak Djokovic99¢ → 100¢ | $6,134 | −$62 −1.0% | — |
| 11d | cometomebaby | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SellNovak Djokovic99¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 11d | omnibus-076daa5 fills | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyNovak Djokovic78¢ → 100¢ | $85,159 | +$23,579 +28% | 5 |
| 11d | cometomebaby2 fills | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyNovak Djokovic83¢ → 100¢ | $2,008 | +$405 +20% | 5 |
| 11d | Erick2307 | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyNovak Djokovic82¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$1,113 +22% | 5 |
| 11d | Shameful-Cantaloupe-MonasticismNew account | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyNovak Djokovic78¢ → 100¢ | $1,333 | +$376 +28% | 14 |
| 11d | ferrariChampions20264 fills | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyNovak Djokovic62¢ → 100¢ | $26,683 | +$16,647 +62% | 4 |
| 11d | Authorized-Gazelle2 fills | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyNovak Djokovic78¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$1,109 +28% | 5 |
| 11d | Dktb | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlex de Minaur23¢ → 0¢ | $5,003 | −$5,003 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | SharkVision | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlex de Minaur23¢ → 0¢ | $1,166 | −$1,166 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | ferrariChampions20264 fills | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlex de Minaur25¢ → 0¢ | $9,079 | −$9,079 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | 0x9698…2504 | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 Winner | SellNovak Djokovic>99¢ | $1,593 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | Luzzzer | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlex de Minaur23¢ → 0¢ | $10,000 | −$10,000 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | 0x760f…326a | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlex de Minaur23¢ → 0¢ | $9,964 | −$9,964 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | jtwyslljy | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlex de Minaur23¢ → 0¢ | $1,150 | −$1,150 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | W.Yang911 | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SellNovak Djokovic76¢ → 100¢ | $1,520 | −$480 −32% | — |
| 11d | UpTheBlues4 fills | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyNovak Djokovic70¢ → 100¢ | $10,310 | +$4,516 +44% | 6 |
| 11d | Tobias19092 fills | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyNovak Djokovic58¢ → 100¢ | $5,764 | +$4,174 +72% | 6 |
| 11d | Nc1989 | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyNovak Djokovic59¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$1,250 +69% | 6 |
| 11d | mauro2727 | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SellNovak Djokovic55¢ → 100¢ | $1,719 | −$1,406 −82% | — |
| 11d | UpTheBlues4 fills | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlex de Minaur39¢ → 0¢ | $7,939 | −$7,939 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | dsdsgfgfs | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SellAlex de Minaur37¢ → 0¢ | $1,286 | +$1,286 +100% | — |
| 11d | Refaelnadal | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyNovak Djokovic58¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | +$757 +72% | 6 |
| 11d | Needy-Reputation | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlex de Minaur43¢ → 0¢ | $1,924 | −$1,924 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | Enraged-Planning-Transformation | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyNovak Djokovic70¢ → 100¢ | $3,691 | +$1,582 +43% | 6 |
| 11d | zockdo2 fills | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyNovak Djokovic65¢ → 100¢ | $2,840 | +$1,529 +54% | 6 |
| 11d | HomeRunHazard | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlex de Minaur38¢ → 0¢ | $3,403 | −$3,403 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | xabidaking | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlex de Minaur37¢ → 0¢ | $7,497 | −$7,497 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | kahe | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyNovak Djokovic65¢ → 100¢ | $9,800 | +$5,351 +55% | 6 |
| 11d | horrocrux2 fills | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyNovak Djokovic62¢ → 100¢ | $13,470 | +$8,328 +62% | 4 |
| 11d | suntori2 fills | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyNovak Djokovic63¢ → 100¢ | $3,864 | +$2,240 +58% | 4 |
| 11d | Harmful-inclusion | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyNovak Djokovic62¢ → 100¢ | $3,100 | +$1,900 +61% | 6 |
| 11d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlex de Minaur39¢ → 0¢ | $2,800 | −$2,800 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | elenaarybakin21 | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlex de Minaur39¢ → 0¢ | $1,988 | −$1,988 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | 1234162 | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlex de Minaur39¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 11d |  Kangta6365 | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlex de Minaur39¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | sbimbg2 fills | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlex de Minaur38¢ → 0¢ | $3,684 | −$3,684 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | 0xe98c…8792 | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyNovak Djokovic63¢ → 100¢ | $5,586 | +$3,281 +59% | 6 |
| 11d | ForMyFamily1 | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BuyNovak Djokovic62¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$617 +62% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Novak Djokovic and Alex de Minaur in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Novak Djokovic' if Novak Djokovic advances against Alex de Minaur. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Novak Djokovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur means the market gives it about 100%.