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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinan: Liam Draxl vs Omar Jasika | 100% | +23 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 2d |
| Completed Match | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 2d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d | 0xe98c…8792 | Jinan: Liam Draxl vs Omar Jasika | SellLiam Draxl>99¢ | $4,938 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 4d | Noisy-Waitress | Jinan: Liam Draxl vs Omar Jasika | SellLiam Draxl61¢ → 100¢ | $1,482 | −$948 −64% | — |
| 4d | UpTheBlues5 fills | Jinan: Liam Draxl vs Omar Jasika | BuyLiam Draxl68¢ → 100¢ | $6,645 | +$3,100 +47% | 6 |
| 4d | omnibus-076daa2 fills | Jinan: Liam Draxl vs Omar Jasika | BuyOmar Jasika37¢ → 0¢ | $3,048 | −$3,048 −100% | 6 |
| 4d | Noisy-Waitress | Jinan: Liam Draxl vs Omar Jasika | BuyLiam Draxl59¢ → 100¢ | $1,427 | +$995 +70% | 6 |
| 4d | UpTheBlues3 fills | Jinan: Liam Draxl vs Omar Jasika | BuyOmar Jasika66¢ → 0¢ | $3,599 | −$3,599 −100% | 6 |
| 4d | 0xe98c…8792 | Jinan: Liam Draxl vs Omar Jasika | BuyLiam Draxl41¢ → 100¢ | $1,987 | +$2,859 +144% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Draxl and Omar Jasika in the Jinan, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Omar Jasika. This market will resolve to 'Omar Jasika' if Omar Jasika advances against Liam Draxl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Jinan: Liam Draxl vs Omar Jasika means the market gives it about 100%.