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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic Set 1 Winner | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic Set 2 Winner | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic Game Spread +/-1.5 | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +60 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +65 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −61 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +15 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10d | Accomplished-FrameworkNew account | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | SellArthur Fery>99¢ | $1,240 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 10d | 0x02fd…104c | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic Set 2 Winner | SellArthur Fery99¢ → 100¢ | $1,757 | −$12 −0.7% | — |
| 10d | BunCaCham | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | BuyArthur Fery>99¢ | $7,082 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 10d | 01258787xy48487484545122 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | BuyArthur Fery97¢ → 100¢ | $9,532 | +$295 +3.1% | 4 |
| 10d | brownworkgloves | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | SellArthur Fery96¢ → 100¢ | $1,937 | −$81 −4.2% | — |
| 10d |  Nerdbet | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | BuyArthur Fery97¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$46 +3.1% | 4 |
| 10d | 0xc1acc1 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | BuyArthur Fery95¢ → 100¢ | $6,070 | +$319 +5.3% | 4 |
| 10d | UpTheBlues6 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | BuyArthur Fery85¢ → 100¢ | $27,805 | +$4,974 +18% | 5 |
| 10d | HomeRunHazard3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | BuyArthur Fery81¢ → 100¢ | $14,342 | +$3,365 +23% | 5 |
| 10d | 0x02fd…104c | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic Set 2 Winner | BuyArthur Fery61¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$643 +64% | 6 |
| 10d | Luzzzer | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | SellArthur Fery83¢ → 100¢ | $24,959 | −$5,023 −20% | — |
| 10d | Basel28 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic Set 1 Winner | SellArthur Fery>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 10d | ferrariChampions2026 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic33¢ → 0¢ | $3,297 | −$3,297 −100% | 6 |
| 10d | Lorolorota09 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | SellArthur Fery62¢ → 100¢ | $3,812 | −$2,336 −61% | — |
| 10d | Vattumattu | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic42¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 10d | 0x760f…326a | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | BuyArthur Fery60¢ → 100¢ | $20,000 | +$13,553 +68% | 6 |
| 10d | 1Day100USD | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | BuyArthur Fery59¢ → 100¢ | $3,180 | +$2,210 +69% | 6 |
| 10d | Exalted-Evocation | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic42¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 10d | MODDI | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic40¢ → 0¢ | $5,680 | −$5,680 −100% | 6 |
| 10d | neutralwave23 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic40¢ → 0¢ | $1,473 | −$1,473 −100% | 6 |
| 10d | Luzzzer | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | BuyArthur Fery65¢ → 100¢ | $19,635 | +$10,346 +53% | 6 |
| 10d | Horrible-Recording | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | BuyArthur Fery65¢ → 100¢ | $2,925 | +$1,575 +54% | 6 |
| 10d | Illiasca | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | BuyArthur Fery51¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,922 +96% | 6 |
| 10d | ferrariChampions2026 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | BuyArthur Fery51¢ → 100¢ | $7,139 | +$6,760 +95% | 6 |
| 10d | Lorolorota09 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | BuyArthur Fery57¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$2,649 +76% | 6 |
| 10d | Limousin | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic58¢ → 0¢ | $1,327 | −$1,327 −100% | 6 |
| 10d | lfjlwkflwekfl | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic40¢ → 0¢ | $4,270 | −$4,270 −100% | 6 |
| 10d | kdvlklkvlsklkfs2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | BuyArthur Fery61¢ → 100¢ | $24,636 | +$15,880 +64% | 6 |
| 10d | Substantial-Service3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic39¢ → 0¢ | $50,165 | −$50,165 −100% | 6 |
| 10d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic39¢ → 0¢ | $3,023 | −$3,023 −100% | 6 |
| 10d | omnibus-076daa | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | BuyArthur Fery60¢ → 100¢ | $2,976 | +$1,984 +67% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Marin Cilic in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if Arthur Fery advances against Marin Cilic. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Arthur Fery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic means the market gives it about 100%.