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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 Winner | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 Winner | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe Game Spread +/-0.5 | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Completed Match | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +60 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +15 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +64 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 1d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | vladiva | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellAlejandro Davidovich Fokina>99¢ | $3,459 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 5d |  Kangta6365 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellAlejandro Davidovich Fokina>99¢ | $3,943 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 5d |  CripplingHeadshot | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellAlejandro Davidovich Fokina>99¢ | $4,156 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | bankside | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellAlejandro Davidovich Fokina>99¢ | $1,501 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | Vattumattu | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellAlejandro Davidovich Fokina>99¢ | $1,232 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | Bellevue27 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellAlejandro Davidovich Fokina>99¢ | $1,145 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | Luzzzer | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellAlejandro Davidovich Fokina99¢ → 100¢ | $8,111 | −$82 −1.0% | — |
| 5d | hayabusa2026 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellAlejandro Davidovich Fokina99¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | −$22 −1.0% | — |
| 5d | kkookkoo | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellAlejandro Davidovich Fokina99¢ → 100¢ | $13,749 | −$139 −1.0% | — |
| 5d |  MurkSniper2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellAlejandro Davidovich Fokina60¢ → 100¢ | $2,428 | −$1,638 −67% | — |
| 5d | hayabusa2026 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina45¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,222 +122% | 4 |
| 5d | UpTheBlues4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyFrances Tiafoe54¢ → 0¢ | $6,094 | −$6,094 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | HomeRunHazard | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyFrances Tiafoe41¢ → 0¢ | $1,328 | −$1,328 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | Gianmarco93 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina89¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$155 +12% | 4 |
| 5d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellAlejandro Davidovich Fokina61¢ → 100¢ | $2,492 | −$1,599 −64% | — |
| 5d | omnibus-076daa4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyFrances Tiafoe57¢ → 0¢ | $12,481 | −$12,481 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | k56 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina54¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,299 +87% | 4 |
| 5d | Lorolorota262 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellFrances Tiafoe32¢ → 0¢ | $5,778 | +$5,778 +100% | — |
| 5d | Horrible-Recording2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina52¢ → 100¢ | $2,325 | +$2,175 +94% | 4 |
| 5d | MurkSniper2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina63¢ → 100¢ | $3,469 | +$2,029 +58% | 4 |
| 5d | Shocking-Bathroom | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina53¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$7,094 +89% | 4 |
| 5d | UpTheBlues7 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina47¢ → 100¢ | $10,226 | +$11,725 +115% | 4 |
| 5d |  laIaIalala | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellAlejandro Davidovich Fokina28¢ → 100¢ | $1,696 | −$4,361 −257% | — |
| 5d | swy01 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyFrances Tiafoe72¢ → 0¢ | $1,092 | −$1,092 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | dmoralez2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellFrances Tiafoe59¢ → 0¢ | $4,180 | +$4,180 +100% | — |
| 5d | 01258787xy484874845451222 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyFrances Tiafoe58¢ → 0¢ | $8,501 | −$8,501 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | dmoralez2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyFrances Tiafoe55¢ → 0¢ | $2,148 | −$2,148 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | 01258787xy484874845451222 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina51¢ → 100¢ | $7,477 | +$7,165 +96% | 4 |
| 5d | laIaIalala | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina48¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$2,149 +110% | 4 |
| 5d | omnibus-076daa4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina54¢ → 100¢ | $11,584 | +$9,859 +85% | 4 |
| 5d | jtwyslljy2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina51¢ → 100¢ | $4,570 | +$4,430 +97% | 4 |
| 5d |  0xwise | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellFrances Tiafoe45¢ → 0¢ | $2,551 | +$2,551 +100% | — |
| 5d | Horrible-Recording | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellFrances Tiafoe52¢ → 0¢ | $2,050 | +$2,050 +100% | — |
| 5d | User.0xE | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellFrances Tiafoe52¢ → 0¢ | $1,040 | +$1,040 +100% | — |
| 5d | jtwyslljy | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellFrances Tiafoe52¢ → 0¢ | $1,040 | +$1,040 +100% | — |
| 5d | kkookkoo | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina48¢ → 100¢ | $6,666 | +$7,222 +108% | 4 |
| 5d | dapr2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellFrances Tiafoe64¢ → 0¢ | $3,434 | +$3,434 +100% | — |
| 5d | Lorolorota262 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyFrances Tiafoe69¢ → 0¢ | $12,336 | −$12,336 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | Lorolorota26 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellAlejandro Davidovich Fokina26¢ → 100¢ | $4,552 | −$13,015 −286% | — |
| 5d | Substantial-Service2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina44¢ → 100¢ | $16,818 | +$21,674 +129% | 4 |
| 6d | MilesY2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyFrances Tiafoe71¢ → 0¢ | $3,454 | −$3,454 −100% | 4 |
| 6d | MilesY2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellAlejandro Davidovich Fokina25¢ → 100¢ | $3,641 | −$10,866 −298% | — |
| 6d | dapr2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyFrances Tiafoe40¢ → 0¢ | $2,134 | −$2,134 −100% | 4 |
| 6d | alaskabaked4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyFrances Tiafoe45¢ → 0¢ | $7,294 | −$7,294 −100% | 4 |
| 6d | Luzzzer | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina49¢ → 100¢ | $4,013 | +$4,180 +104% | 4 |
| 6d | praba84 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellFrances Tiafoe45¢ → 0¢ | $1,665 | +$1,665 +100% | — |
| 6d | MilesY2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina53¢ → 100¢ | $7,718 | +$6,789 +88% | 4 |
| 6d | bankside | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina71¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | +$432 +40% | 4 |
| 6d | Lorolorota26 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina75¢ → 100¢ | $13,136 | +$4,393 +33% | 4 |
| 6d | laIaIalala | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellFrances Tiafoe26¢ → 0¢ | $2,468 | +$2,468 +100% | — |
| 6d | ghtttttt | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyFrances Tiafoe28¢ → 0¢ | $1,410 | −$1,410 −100% | 4 |
| 6d | Scratchy-Function | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina71¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | +$485 +41% | 4 |
| 6d | dmoralez2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellAlejandro Davidovich Fokina54¢ → 100¢ | $3,178 | −$2,694 −85% | — |
| 6d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina59¢ → 100¢ | $4,252 | +$2,896 +68% | 4 |
| 6d | jtwyslljy2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyFrances Tiafoe41¢ → 0¢ | $2,046 | −$2,046 −100% | 4 |
| 6d | dapr | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellAlejandro Davidovich Fokina67¢ → 100¢ | $1,555 | −$766 −49% | — |
| 6d | MilesY | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellFrances Tiafoe33¢ → 0¢ | $1,038 | +$1,038 +100% | — |
| 6d |  one8tyfive | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | SellAlejandro Davidovich Fokina58¢ → 100¢ | $2,701 | −$1,956 −72% | — |
| 6d | danmanud | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyFrances Tiafoe60¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 4 |
| 6d | 0x760f…326a | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina38¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$16,064 +161% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Frances Tiafoe in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Davidovich Fokina' if Alejandro Davidovich Fokina advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe means the market gives it about 100%.