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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | 100% | +21 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 Winner | 100% | +28 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +21 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 Winner | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59d | phredmoz | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellTaylor Fritz>99¢ | $14,020 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 59d | romanh31 | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellTaylor Fritz>99¢ | $1,684 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 59d | Pandaboss | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellTaylor Fritz>99¢ | $2,546 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 59d | 0xb94c…ae33 | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set Handicap +/-1.5 | SellFritz>99¢ | $2,543 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 59d | swy01 | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellTaylor Fritz>99¢ | $9,189 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 59d |  cryptojo | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyTaylor Fritz>99¢ | $1,064 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 59d | dmoralez13 fills | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyTaylor Fritz91¢ → 100¢ | $24,679 | +$2,415 +9.8% | 5 |
| 59d |  Cypya2 fills | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyTaylor Fritz99¢ → 100¢ | $2,971 | +$30 +1.0% | 4 |
| 59d | LightSword707 | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyTaylor Fritz99¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$16 +1.1% | 4 |
| 59d | Nootpengu | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellTaylor Fritz98¢ → 100¢ | $4,461 | −$85 −1.9% | — |
| 59d | blket | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellTaylor Fritz98¢ → 100¢ | $2,203 | −$45 −2.0% | — |
| 59d | dmoralez6 fills | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellTaylor Fritz94¢ → 100¢ | $18,883 | −$1,264 −6.7% | — |
| 59d | swisstony4 fills | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyTaylor Fritz97¢ → 100¢ | $26,738 | +$854 +3.2% | 4 |
| 59d | Sad-Help | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyTaylor Fritz97¢ → 100¢ | $1,746 | +$54 +3.1% | 4 |
| 59d | HomeRunHazard3 fills | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyTaylor Fritz91¢ → 100¢ | $4,338 | +$441 +10% | 5 |
| 59d | romanh31 | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyTaylor Fritz89¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$185 +12% | 5 |
| 59d | ROI-Human2 fills | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyTaylor Fritz87¢ → 100¢ | $2,016 | +$288 +14% | 5 |
| 59d | Nootpengu | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyTaylor Fritz89¢ → 100¢ | $4,061 | +$482 +12% | 5 |
| 59d | blket | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyTaylor Fritz89¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$247 +12% | 5 |
| 59d | neutralwave23 | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellTaylor Fritz90¢ → 100¢ | $4,196 | −$451 −11% | — |
| 59d | neutralwave23 | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyTaylor Fritz89¢ → 100¢ | $3,931 | +$486 +12% | 5 |
| 59d | swy012 fills | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyTaylor Fritz85¢ → 100¢ | $7,782 | +$1,416 +18% | 5 |
| 59d |  TRCM | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyTaylor Fritz78¢ → 100¢ | $1,466 | +$414 +28% | 5 |
| 59d | Pandaboss | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyTaylor Fritz78¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | +$561 +28% | 5 |
| 59d | hurrican | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar23¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 6 |
| 59d | Liverpool1 | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyTaylor Fritz78¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$310 +28% | 5 |
| 59d | Rash-Copying2 fills | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar21¢ → 0¢ | $18,000 | −$18,000 −100% | 6 |
| 59d | ojgtubvdt2 fills | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyTaylor Fritz83¢ → 100¢ | $6,127 | +$1,226 +20% | 5 |
| 59d | muglishainer | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyTaylor Fritz83¢ → 100¢ | $3,320 | +$680 +20% | 5 |
| 59d | agirlnamedAlice69 | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyFritz58¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$840 +72% | 6 |
| 59d | phredmoz | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyTaylor Fritz81¢ → 100¢ | $11,367 | +$2,666 +23% | 5 |
| 59d | 0xb94c…ae33 | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyFritz57¢ → 100¢ | $1,365 | +$1,030 +75% | 6 |
| 60d | anonismkio | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 Winner | BuyFritz74¢ → 100¢ | $1,563 | +$549 +35% | 6 |
| 60d | comon119 | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyTaylor Fritz80¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$1,000 +25% | 5 |
| 60d | 0000.3 fills | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyTaylor Fritz80¢ → 100¢ | $12,000 | +$2,980 +25% | 4 |
| 60d | kingflop4 fills | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyTaylor Fritz79¢ → 100¢ | $16,285 | +$4,329 +27% | 4 |
| 60d |  palmdo | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyTaylor Fritz79¢ → 100¢ | $1,959 | +$521 +27% | 4 |
| 60d | k56 | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyTaylor Fritz79¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$319 +27% | 4 |
| 60d | Nippy-Connection | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar22¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 4 |
| 61d | 0000. | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyFritz55¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$1,950 +81% | 4 |
ArturitoFilito30,206 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Taylor Fritz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar means the market gives it about 100%.