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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | 100% | +67 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 Winner | 100% | +62 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +75 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 177d | venera1234 | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | SellVilius Gaubas>99¢ | $1,028 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 177d | fratii.brothers | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | SellVilius Gaubas>99¢ | $15,063 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 177d |  Rodericky | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | SellVilius Gaubas>99¢ | $1,068 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 177d | blindsamsam | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | SellVilius Gaubas>99¢ | $1,412 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 177d | Antique-Vaulting | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | SellVilius Gaubas>99¢ | $2,680 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 177d | BunCaCham | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuyVilius Gaubas>99¢ | $1,745 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 177d | Fjcjjfj | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | SellVilius Gaubas98¢ → 100¢ | $1,484 | −$36 −2.4% | — |
| 177d | Monthly-Warren | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | SellVilius Gaubas99¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | −$15 −1.4% | — |
| 177d | 5551ab | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuyVilius Gaubas>99¢ | $4,989 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 177d | Antique-Vaulting | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuyVilius Gaubas99¢ → 100¢ | $2,655 | +$27 +1.0% | 4 |
| 177d |  RichestAmazonSellerWalletUser | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuyVilius Gaubas99¢ → 100¢ | $15,545 | +$157 +1.0% | 4 |
| 177d | fratii.brothers | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuyVilius Gaubas99¢ → 100¢ | $14,588 | +$147 +1.0% | 4 |
| 177d | Sour-Basket | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | SellSebastian Baez21¢ → 0¢ | $1,171 | +$1,171 +100% | — |
| 177d | Loouney9 | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez32¢ → 0¢ | $1,918 | −$1,918 −100% | 6 |
| 177d | ferrariChampions2026 | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuyVilius Gaubas71¢ → 100¢ | $2,024 | +$827 +41% | 6 |
| 177d | silelis | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | SellSebastian Baez37¢ → 0¢ | $1,606 | +$1,606 +100% | — |
| 177d |  RN1 | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez35¢ → 0¢ | $3,041 | −$3,041 −100% | 6 |
| 177d |  one8tyfive | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuyVilius Gaubas64¢ → 100¢ | $6,494 | +$3,602 +55% | 6 |
| 177d | jmm20 | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez35¢ → 0¢ | $3,364 | −$3,364 −100% | 6 |
| 177d | DogecoinMillionaire | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez50¢ → 0¢ | $1,287 | −$1,287 −100% | 6 |
| 177d |  tradecraft2 fills | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuyVilius Gaubas42¢ → 100¢ | $2,208 | +$3,086 +140% | 6 |
| 177d |  TRCM | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuyVilius Gaubas36¢ → 100¢ | $1,031 | +$1,854 +180% | 6 |
| 177d | RN1 | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuyVilius Gaubas32¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$2,337 +212% | 6 |
| 177d | Scratchy-Salt | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez64¢ → 0¢ | $1,698 | −$1,698 −100% | 6 |
| 177d | Sour-Basket2 fills | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez71¢ → 0¢ | $2,861 | −$2,861 −100% | 6 |
| 177d | Bigboybandi | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez67¢ → 0¢ | $7,843 | −$7,843 −100% | 6 |
| 177d | Exalted-Evocation | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez71¢ → 0¢ | $4,913 | −$4,913 −100% | 6 |
| 177d |  doutrustlight | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez67¢ → 0¢ | $1,176 | −$1,176 −100% | 6 |
| 177d | JigglyPuff | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez72¢ → 0¢ | $2,845 | −$2,845 −100% | 6 |
| 177d |  FTX2.0 | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez72¢ → 0¢ | $2,095 | −$2,095 −100% | 6 |
| 177d | JRman555 - 12765 | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez72¢ → 0¢ | $6,671 | −$6,671 −100% | 6 |
| 177d | BillBenter2026 | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuyVilius Gaubas28¢ → 100¢ | $1,339 | +$3,444 +257% | 6 |
| 177d | eokho | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez72¢ → 0¢ | $2,654 | −$2,654 −100% | 6 |
| 177d |  Cosmos99 | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez71¢ → 0¢ | $983 | −$983 −100% | 6 |
| 177d | silelis | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez71¢ → 0¢ | $2,093 | −$2,093 −100% | 6 |
| 177d | RichestAmazonSellerWalletUser | Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez69¢ → 0¢ | $1,745 | −$1,745 −100% | 4 |
FTX2.02,934 sharesdoutrustlight1,773 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Vilius Gaubas and Sebastian Baez in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vilius Gaubas advances against Sebastian Baez. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Vilius Gaubas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez means the market gives it about 100%.