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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +19 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 Winner | 50% | +4 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +10 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | −3 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +5 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Game Spread +/-0.5 | 50% | −1 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | −12 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +18 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 5d |
| Completed Match | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 Winner | 50% | −20 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | −32 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | −10 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +2 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +2 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +2 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | in 5d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d |  noosh3 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | SellArthur Gea49¢ → 50¢ | $1,982 | −$45 −2.2% | — |
| 2d | 000999000 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | SellArthur Gea49¢ → 50¢ | $1,950 | −$40 −2.0% | — |
| 2d |  tiger105 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | SellArthur Gea49¢ → 50¢ | $4,037 | −$82 −2.0% | — |
| 2d | n1ck10s | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | SellAlejandro Davidovich Fokina>99¢ | $1,518 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | xutuu | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | SellAlejandro Davidovich Fokina>99¢ | $1,735 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | RoadTo1MillionUsd | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | SellAlejandro Davidovich Fokina>99¢ | $2,039 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | realmadrid090 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | SellAlejandro Davidovich Fokina>99¢ | $1,613 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | SellAlejandro Davidovich Fokina99¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 2d | Y33 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | SellAlejandro Davidovich Fokina99¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 2d | dmoralez3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina78¢ → 100¢ | $3,317 | +$936 +28% | 4 |
| 2d | Exalted-Evocation | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina70¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$436 +43% | 4 |
| 2d | realmadrid090 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina66¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | +$556 +53% | 4 |
| 2d | ferrariChampions2026 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina64¢ → 100¢ | $9,330 | +$5,248 +56% | 4 |
| 2d | SchruteBucks | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina54¢ → 100¢ | $2,144 | +$1,856 +87% | 4 |
| 2d |  TRCM2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina54¢ → 100¢ | $7,200 | +$6,225 +86% | 4 |
| 2d |  tradecraft | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina55¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$4,050 +82% | 4 |
| 2d | flatbarrel | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina55¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$4,050 +82% | 4 |
| 2d | 000999000 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyArthur Gea74¢ → 50¢ | $2,945 | −$955 −32% | 4 |
| 2d | noosh3 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyArthur Gea74¢ → 50¢ | $3,000 | −$973 −32% | 4 |
| 2d | tiger105 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyArthur Gea73¢ → 50¢ | $6,050 | −$1,931 −32% | 4 |
| 2d | jtwyslljy2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina49¢ → 100¢ | $3,849 | +$4,066 +106% | 4 |
| 2d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | BuyArthur Gea52¢ → 0¢ | $3,500 | −$3,500 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | Brian88888 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 Winner | BuyArthur Gea50¢ | $1,000 | $0 0.0% | 4 |
| 2d | Kkunn | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | BuyArthur Gea52¢ → 0¢ | $3,282 | −$3,282 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | Likely-FeedbackNew account | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | BuyArthur Gea52¢ → 0¢ | $1,950 | −$1,950 −100% | 13 |
| 2d | RoadTo1MillionUsd | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina49¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,041 +104% | 4 |
| 2d | Spotless-Girlfriend | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina50¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$2,800 +100% | 4 |
| 2d | Carlos10 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | BuyAlejandro Davidovich Fokina51¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$961 +96% | 4 |
| 2d | wyshooting | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyArthur Gea70¢ → 50¢ | $1,181 | −$337 −29% | 4 |
| 2d | JAMJAMJAM4 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | BuyArthur Gea50¢ → 0¢ | $1,950 | −$1,950 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | 1337zzz1337 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | BuyArthur Gea50¢ → 0¢ | $3,500 | −$3,500 −100% | 4 |
Arnus2,529 shares
Kastagir3 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Davidovich Fokina' if Alejandro Davidovich Fokina advances against Arthur Gea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina means the market gives it about 0%.