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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +44 pts | — | 82¢ · 100¢ (18¢) | — | ended |
| Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +53 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald Set 1 Winner | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald Set 2 Winner | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +60 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +42 pts | — | 82¢ · 100¢ (18¢) | — | ended |
| Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald Game Spread +/-1.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16d | bestevertodoit | Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald | SellMatthew William Donald98¢ → 100¢ | $1,246 | −$29 −2.3% | — |
| 16d | omnibus-076daa5 fills | Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald | BuyMatthew William Donald98¢ → 100¢ | $24,278 | +$507 +2.1% | 4 |
| 16d | HVAB4 fills | Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald | BuyMatthew William Donald95¢ → 100¢ | $35,448 | +$1,978 +5.6% | 4 |
| 16d | Flaznorp | Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald | BuyLorenzo Giustino4¢ → 0¢ | $1,032 | −$1,032 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | wingwingwin | Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald | SellLorenzo Giustino80¢ → 0¢ | $1,114 | +$1,114 +100% | — |
| 16d |  1x2xx2556xx123 | Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald | SellLorenzo Giustino55¢ → 0¢ | $1,534 | +$1,534 +100% | — |
| 16d | HomeRunHazard | Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald | BuyLorenzo Giustino58¢ → 0¢ | $1,065 | −$1,065 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | flatbarrel2 fills | Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald | BuyMatthew William Donald53¢ → 100¢ | $3,078 | +$2,691 +87% | 6 |
hobo69800 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Giustino and Matthew William Donald in the Bari, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Giustino' if Lorenzo Giustino advances against Matthew William Donald. This market will resolve to 'Matthew William Donald' if Matthew William Donald advances against Lorenzo Giustino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald means the market gives it about 0%.