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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $880K | in 7d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev Game Spread +/-2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | $11.7K | in 7d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $11K | in 7d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $4.01K | in 7d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $3.68K | in 7d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $1.76K | in 7d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $1.38K | in 7d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $1.3K | in 7d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $124 | in 7d |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $1.04 | in 7d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 7d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 7d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 7d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38m | hurrican | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | SellRafael Jodar>99¢ | $5,488 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 49m | BlasTesla | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | SellRafael Jodar>99¢ | $1,344 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 50m | Khalipa | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev Game Spread +/-2.5 | SellRafael Jodar99¢ → 100¢ | $1,747 | −$14 −0.8% | — |
| 51m | Khalipa | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | SellRafael Jodar>99¢ | $1,434 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 51m | Kkunn | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | SellRafael Jodar>99¢ | $50,065 | −$50 −0.1% | — |
| 52m | agirlnamedAlice69 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | SellRafael Jodar>99¢ | $3,370 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 53m | madkkee | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | SellRafael Jodar>99¢ | $9,409 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 53m | swy01 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | SellRafael Jodar>99¢ | $4,012 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 53m | muchova192 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | SellRafael Jodar92¢ → 100¢ | $7,012 | −$651 −9.3% | — |
| 54m | tghj20 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | SellRafael Jodar99¢ → 100¢ | $2,478 | −$25 −1.0% | — |
| 54m | Y33 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | SellRafael Jodar99¢ → 100¢ | $2,254 | −$23 −1.0% | — |
| 54m | itb08081982 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | SellRafael Jodar99¢ → 100¢ | $2,538 | −$26 −1.0% | — |
| 55m | n1ck10s3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | SellRafael Jodar68¢ → 100¢ | $5,490 | −$2,552 −46% | — |
| 55m | Unfortunate-Liver | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | SellRafael Jodar99¢ → 100¢ | $4,694 | −$47 −1.0% | — |
| 56m | muchova192 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyRafael Jodar79¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$1,163 +26% | 6 |
| 56m | Flaznorp2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyRafael Jodar64¢ → 100¢ | $8,623 | +$4,826 +56% | 7 |
| 57m | swy012 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyRafael Jodar84¢ → 100¢ | $3,209 | +$630 +20% | 5 |
| 58m | redvinny5 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyRafael Jodar86¢ → 100¢ | $11,214 | +$1,785 +16% | 5 |
| 58m | UpTheBlues | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev17¢ → 0¢ | $1,166 | −$1,166 −100% | 6 |
| 1h | redvinny2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | SellRafael Jodar91¢ → 100¢ | $4,556 | −$451 −9.9% | — |
| 1h | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyRafael Jodar88¢ → 100¢ | $2,683 | +$366 +14% | 5 |
| 1h | UpTheBlues9 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyRafael Jodar65¢ → 100¢ | $19,848 | +$10,469 +53% | 8 |
| 1h | hurrican | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyRafael Jodar86¢ → 100¢ | $4,700 | +$793 +17% | 5 |
| 1h | omnibus-076daa | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyRafael Jodar81¢ → 100¢ | $3,922 | +$932 +24% | 6 |
| 1h |  Cypya | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyRafael Jodar78¢ → 100¢ | $1,560 | +$440 +28% | 6 |
| 1h | n1ck10s3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyRafael Jodar67¢ → 100¢ | $4,600 | +$2,267 +49% | 6 |
| 1h | danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl62 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyRafael Jodar44¢ → 100¢ | $8,863 | +$11,137 +126% | 7 |
| 1h | Horrible-Recording | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev56¢ → 0¢ | $5,598 | −$5,598 −100% | 7 |
| 1h | esticamos | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev58¢ → 0¢ | $1,799 | +$1,799 +100% | — |
| 1h | rabbitfoot12 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev61¢ → 0¢ | $3,708 | −$3,708 −100% | 6 |
| 1h | n1ck10s | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev61¢ → 0¢ | $1,430 | −$1,430 −100% | 6 |
| 1h | esticamos | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev60¢ → 0¢ | $1,600 | −$1,600 −100% | 6 |
| 1h |  Reformedx2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev54¢ → 0¢ | $2,653 | −$2,653 −100% | 6 |
| 1h | ferrariChampions20262 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyRafael Jodar43¢ → 100¢ | $13,740 | +$17,898 +130% | 5 |
| 1h | TSFSYD | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev54¢ → 0¢ | $2,331 | −$2,331 −100% | 6 |
| 1h |  Zelenskys-suit | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyRafael Jodar67¢ → 100¢ | $4,355 | +$2,145 +49% | 6 |
| 1h | omnibus-076daa4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev42¢ → 0¢ | $10,091 | −$10,091 −100% | 7 |
| 1h | Mika06 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev44¢ → 0¢ | $1,158 | +$1,158 +100% | — |
| 1h | muchova19 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev47¢ → 0¢ | $1,064 | +$1,064 +100% | — |
| 1h | BossJoe12343 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyRafael Jodar59¢ → 100¢ | $8,030 | +$5,580 +69% | 7 |
| 1h | 1337zzz13374 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyRafael Jodar48¢ → 100¢ | $11,000 | +$11,931 +108% | 7 |
| 1h | MrBently | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev41¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 1h | jtwyslljy | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyRafael Jodar60¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$4,000 +67% | 7 |
| 1h | muchova19 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev44¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 2h | Mika06 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev48¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 6 |
| 2h | madkkee2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyRafael Jodar50¢ → 100¢ | $3,785 | +$3,766 +99% | 6 |
| 2h | jyben13 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev55¢ → 0¢ | $1,004 | −$1,004 −100% | 6 |
| 2h | 0x45c0…c8452 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev58¢ → 0¢ | $4,330 | −$4,330 −100% | 6 |
| 2h | itb08081982 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyRafael Jodar39¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,564 +156% | 6 |
| 2h | Flaznorp | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev63¢ → 0¢ | $5,283 | −$5,283 −100% | 6 |
| 2h | Kkunn3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyRafael Jodar39¢ → 100¢ | $8,447 | +$13,032 +154% | 5 |
| 2h | Unfortunate-Liver | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyRafael Jodar41¢ → 100¢ | $1,925 | +$2,817 +146% | 6 |
| 2h | ferrariChampions2026 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 Winner | BuyRafael Jodar45¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$1,650 +122% | 16 |
| 2h | Lilybaeum4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyRafael Jodar37¢ → 100¢ | $5,807 | +$9,888 +170% | 7 |
| 2h |  Arnus | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev64¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 2h | kahe | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev63¢ → 0¢ | $9,694 | −$9,694 −100% | 7 |
| 2h | Exalted-Evocation | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev63¢ → 0¢ | $2,473 | −$2,473 −100% | 6 |
| 2h |  noosh3 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyRafael Jodar38¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$1,958 +163% | 4 |
| 2h |  tiger105 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyRafael Jodar38¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$3,263 +163% | 4 |
| 3h | 0x9529…6c26 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev64¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 4 |
Reformedx8,098 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Daniil Medvedev in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev means the market gives it about 100%.