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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi Set 1 Winner | 100% | +65 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi Set 2 Winner | 100% | +65 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi Game Spread +/-3.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29d | phredmoz | Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi | SellPavel Kotov>99¢ | $2,149 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 29d |  Marcoli | Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi | BuyPavel Kotov90¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$548 +11% | 5 |
| 29d |  one8tyfive | Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi | BuyRio Noguchi34¢ → 0¢ | $1,426 | −$1,426 −100% | 6 |
| 29d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi | BuyPavel Kotov64¢ → 100¢ | $2,397 | +$1,360 +57% | 6 |
| 29d |  PO-lfds4444 fills | Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi | BuyRio Noguchi20¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 6 |
| 29d | omnibus-076daa2 fills | Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi | BuyPavel Kotov95¢ → 100¢ | $12,369 | +$651 +5.3% | 4 |
| 29d | omnibus-076daa | Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi | BuyRio Noguchi38¢ → 0¢ | $1,059 | −$1,059 −100% | 6 |
| 29d | phredmoz | Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi | BuyPavel Kotov65¢ → 100¢ | $1,398 | +$753 +54% | 6 |
one8tyfive6,464 shares
DCABC1,551 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Kotov and Rio Noguchi in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Kotov' if Pavel Kotov advances against Rio Noguchi. This market will resolve to 'Rio Noguchi' if Rio Noguchi advances against Pavel Kotov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Rio Noguchi means the market gives it about 100%.