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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | 100% | +64 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 Winner | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli Game Spread +/-3.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +63 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | SellAdrian Mannarino>99¢ | $2,619 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 8d | WaterL | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | SellAdrian Mannarino>99¢ | $1,148 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 8d | Leo626626 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | SellAdrian Mannarino>99¢ | $1,740 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 8d | 0xe98c…8792 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | SellAdrian Mannarino>99¢ | $3,240 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 8d | alaskabaked | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | SellAdrian Mannarino>99¢ | $5,980 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 8d | w... | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | SellAdrian Mannarino>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 8d | Likely-FeedbackNew account | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | SellAdrian Mannarino99¢ → 100¢ | $3,003 | −$30 −1.0% | — |
| 8d | neutralwave23 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | SellAdrian Mannarino99¢ → 100¢ | $1,630 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 8d | Accomplished-FrameworkNew account | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | SellAdrian Mannarino99¢ → 100¢ | $5,301 | −$54 −1.0% | — |
| 8d | hurrican | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyAdrian Mannarino88¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$682 +14% | 4 |
| 8d | 01258787xy48487484545122 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyAdrian Mannarino52¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$923 +92% | 4 |
| 8d | n1ck10s | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | SellFlavio Cobolli52¢ → 0¢ | $1,059 | +$1,059 +100% | — |
| 8d | Likely-FeedbackNew account | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyAdrian Mannarino48¢ → 100¢ | $1,387 | +$1,503 +108% | 16 |
| 8d | TesteE | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyFlavio Cobolli56¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
| 8d | Brian88888 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyFlavio Cobolli61¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 4 |
| 8d | w... | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyAdrian Mannarino67¢ → 100¢ | $1,374 | +$682 +50% | 4 |
| 8d | Luzzzer | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyFlavio Cobolli55¢ → 0¢ | $12,000 | −$12,000 −100% | 4 |
| 8d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyAdrian Mannarino44¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | +$1,466 +127% | 4 |
| 8d | Illiasca4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyFlavio Cobolli58¢ → 0¢ | $12,000 | −$12,000 −100% | 4 |
| 8d | SchruteBucks | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | SellFlavio Cobolli66¢ → 0¢ | $1,072 | +$1,072 +100% | — |
| 8d | Accomplished-FrameworkNew account | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyAdrian Mannarino42¢ → 100¢ | $2,261 | +$3,076 +136% | 4 |
| 8d | SchruteBucks | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyFlavio Cobolli60¢ → 0¢ | $1,151 | −$1,151 −100% | 4 |
| 8d | Accomplished-FrameworkNew account | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | SellFlavio Cobolli59¢ → 0¢ | $2,402 | +$2,402 +100% | — |
| 8d | Ilgato | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | SellFlavio Cobolli59¢ → 0¢ | $4,916 | +$4,916 +100% | — |
| 8d | omnibus-076daa | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyAdrian Mannarino41¢ → 100¢ | $1,677 | +$2,413 +144% | 4 |
| 8d | Accomplished-FrameworkNew account | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyFlavio Cobolli55¢ → 0¢ | $2,239 | −$2,239 −100% | 4 |
| 8d |  tradecraft3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyAdrian Mannarino35¢ → 100¢ | $4,200 | +$7,881 +188% | 4 |
| 8d | 0xFfC8b6250034A9d180D43d6d30E57d304EB2e7f | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyFlavio Cobolli56¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 4 |
| 8d | User.0xE | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyFlavio Cobolli56¢ → 0¢ | $2,240 | −$2,240 −100% | 4 |
| 8d | Optiamo | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyFlavio Cobolli56¢ → 0¢ | $1,726 | −$1,726 −100% | 4 |
| 8d | Bellevue27 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyFlavio Cobolli49¢ → 0¢ | $1,798 | −$1,798 −100% | 4 |
| 8d | n1ck10s | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyFlavio Cobolli55¢ → 0¢ | $1,115 | −$1,115 −100% | 4 |
| 8d |  luckysussygodcat | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyFlavio Cobolli52¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 4 |
| 8d | HomeRunHazard4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyAdrian Mannarino63¢ → 100¢ | $6,008 | +$3,523 +59% | 4 |
| 8d | butilk | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyAdrian Mannarino72¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,167 +39% | 4 |
| 8d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyAdrian Mannarino72¢ → 100¢ | $10,413 | +$3,951 +38% | 4 |
| 8d |  eskk | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyFlavio Cobolli29¢ → 0¢ | $1,450 | −$1,450 −100% | 4 |
| 8d | Shameful-Cantaloupe-MonasticismNew account | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyAdrian Mannarino72¢ → 100¢ | $1,460 | +$568 +39% | 12 |
| 8d | 12341622 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyFlavio Cobolli54¢ → 0¢ | $6,000 | −$6,000 −100% | 4 |
| 8d | User.0xE | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | SellFlavio Cobolli28¢ → 0¢ | $1,120 | +$1,120 +100% | — |
| 8d | SchruteBucks | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | SellAdrian Mannarino68¢ → 100¢ | $1,641 | −$772 −47% | — |
| 8d | alaskabaked | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyAdrian Mannarino66¢ → 100¢ | $3,230 | +$1,660 +51% | 4 |
| 8d | roginarun | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyAdrian Mannarino53¢ → 100¢ | $2,680 | +$2,377 +89% | 4 |
| 8d | omnibus-076daa | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyAdrian Mannarino61¢ → 100¢ | $3,436 | +$2,171 +63% | 4 |
| 8d | Mealy-Grasp-IdiomNew account | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyFlavio Cobolli65¢ → 0¢ | $2,433 | −$2,433 −100% | 4 |
| 8d | 0xe98c…8792 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyAdrian Mannarino36¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | +$2,076 +178% | 4 |
| 8d | kkookkoo | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyFlavio Cobolli65¢ → 0¢ | $25,486 | −$25,486 −100% | 4 |
| 8d |  XDownloadtrump | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyFlavio Cobolli64¢ → 0¢ | $3,840 | −$3,840 −100% | 4 |
| 8d | Eddd1x | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyFlavio Cobolli64¢ → 0¢ | $2,059 | −$2,059 −100% | 4 |
| 8d | jtwyslljy | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyFlavio Cobolli64¢ → 0¢ | $3,784 | −$3,784 −100% | 4 |
| 8d | Horrible-Recording | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | BuyAdrian Mannarino37¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | +$2,520 +170% | 4 |
eskk5,000 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Flavio Cobolli in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Flavio Cobolli. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli means the market gives it about 100%.