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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Game Spread +/-3.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13d | NightStalker106 | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,044 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | sc1pt0x | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,451 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | w... | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Game Spread +/-3.5 | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,151 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | 0x982f…4d1f | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,363 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | Flaznorp2 fills | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | BuyDaniil Medvedev97¢ → 100¢ | $11,654 | +$316 +2.7% | 4 |
| 13d | dmoralez3 fills | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | BuyDaniil Medvedev92¢ → 100¢ | $6,027 | +$492 +8.2% | 5 |
| 13d | suntori | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | BuyDaniil Medvedev96¢ → 100¢ | $1,371 | +$57 +4.2% | 4 |
| 13d | UpTheBlues4 fills | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | BuyDaniil Medvedev84¢ → 100¢ | $6,241 | +$1,226 +20% | 5 |
| 13d |  coinlaundry2 fills | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | SellDaniil Medvedev88¢ → 100¢ | $21,549 | −$2,802 −13% | — |
| 13d | sc1pt0x | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | BuyDaniil Medvedev89¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | +$158 +12% | 5 |
| 13d | Kalahanda | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | BuyFrancisco Cerundolo11¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 13d | RebornAthena | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,495 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | xabidaking2 fills | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | BuyFrancisco Cerundolo13¢ → 0¢ | $9,506 | −$9,506 −100% | 6 |
| 13d | W.Yang9112 fills | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | SellDaniil Medvedev79¢ → 100¢ | $2,370 | −$630 −27% | — |
| 13d | itb08081982 | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | BuyFrancisco Cerundolo18¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 13d | Illiasca | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | BuyDaniil Medvedev65¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,077 +54% | 6 |
| 13d | Luzzzer | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | BuyFrancisco Cerundolo33¢ → 0¢ | $2,545 | −$2,545 −100% | 6 |
| 13d | VanGenGrom | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | BuyDaniil Medvedev71¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$817 +41% | 6 |
| 13d | coinlaundry3 fills | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | BuyDaniil Medvedev87¢ → 100¢ | $21,174 | +$3,169 +15% | 5 |
| 13d | 0xb20b…6507 | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | BuyDaniil Medvedev84¢ → 100¢ | $2,457 | +$468 +19% | 5 |
| 13d | neutralwave232 fills | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | BuyDaniil Medvedev80¢ → 100¢ | $4,424 | +$1,111 +25% | 5 |
| 13d | Israel26 | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | BuyFrancisco Cerundolo17¢ → 0¢ | $1,525 | −$1,525 −100% | 6 |
| 13d | Kkunn | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | BuyFrancisco Cerundolo18¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 6 |
| 13d | W.Yang911 | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | BuyDaniil Medvedev82¢ → 100¢ | $1,640 | +$360 +22% | 5 |
| 13d | Exalted-Evocation | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | BuyDaniil Medvedev76¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$1,611 +32% | 6 |
| 13d | jtwyslljy | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | BuyFrancisco Cerundolo30¢ → 0¢ | $2,100 | −$2,100 −100% | 4 |
| 13d |  nigiri99 | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | BuyFrancisco Cerundolo30¢ → 0¢ | $1,460 | −$1,460 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | fastball67 | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | BuyDaniil Medvedev70¢ → 100¢ | $2,743 | +$1,176 +43% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Francisco Cerundolo in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Francisco Cerundolo. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo means the market gives it about 100%.