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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul Game Spread +/-2.5 | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul Set 1 Winner | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul Set 2 Winner | 0% | −62 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| Completed Match | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +19 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −57 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 0xb5de…cabe | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $2,130 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | andylovenba | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $2,198 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 1d |  Kangta6365 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $4,054 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | mattjay | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul Game Spread +/-2.5 | SellTommy Paul>99¢ | $1,136 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | hurrican | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $6,292 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | sc1pt0x | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,903 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | Worrisome-Winery | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $2,803 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | muchova192 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | SellDaniil Medvedev90¢ → 100¢ | $4,442 | −$478 −11% | — |
| 1d | Mika06 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,613 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | suntori | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $2,379 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | hurrican | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev95¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$298 +5.0% | 4 |
| 1d | gordonlgy | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$105 +5.3% | 4 |
| 1d | Unfortunate-Liver | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | SellDaniil Medvedev94¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | −$69 −6.4% | — |
| 1d | redvinny | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev89¢ → 100¢ | $6,922 | +$855 +12% | 5 |
| 1d |  isco22 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | SellDaniil Medvedev91¢ → 100¢ | $10,805 | −$1,069 −9.9% | — |
| 1d | Momo632 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev91¢ → 100¢ | $10,008 | +$992 +9.9% | 5 |
| 1d | Petty-Frame | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev90¢ → 100¢ | $1,906 | +$212 +11% | 5 |
| 1d | andylovenba | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev86¢ → 100¢ | $1,892 | +$308 +16% | 5 |
| 1d | muchova192 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev78¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$979 +28% | 5 |
| 1d | TakintheL2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev88¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$682 +14% | 5 |
| 1d | VanGenGrom | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev84¢ → 100¢ | $3,400 | +$648 +19% | 5 |
| 1d | Flaznorp8 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev84¢ → 100¢ | $38,629 | +$7,230 +19% | 5 |
| 1d | HomeRunHazard3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev84¢ → 100¢ | $13,328 | +$2,590 +19% | 5 |
| 1d |  RN1 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev84¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$208 +19% | 5 |
| 1d | ferrariChampions2026 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev84¢ → 100¢ | $3,244 | +$618 +19% | 5 |
| 1d | UpTheBlues8 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev82¢ → 100¢ | $31,500 | +$6,726 +21% | 5 |
| 1d | 0xf061…a9aa | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyTommy Paul42¢ → 0¢ | $1,606 | −$1,606 −100% | 6 |
| 1d | whoneed | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | SellDaniil Medvedev57¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | −$860 −75% | — |
| 1d | UpTheBlues | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyTommy Paul42¢ → 0¢ | $1,971 | −$1,971 −100% | 6 |
| 1d | Trollollollollol | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyTommy Paul40¢ → 0¢ | $1,016 | −$1,016 −100% | 6 |
| 1d | swy01 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | SellDaniil Medvedev60¢ → 100¢ | $1,118 | −$736 −66% | — |
| 1d | Gruesome-Multimedia | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | SellDaniil Medvedev60¢ → 100¢ | $7,742 | −$5,161 −67% | — |
| 1d | Gruesome-Multimedia | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev62¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$4,903 +61% | 6 |
| 1d | caspar12482 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev73¢ → 100¢ | $6,066 | +$2,280 +38% | 6 |
| 1d | Previous-Miter-RepaymentNew account | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyTommy Paul36¢ → 0¢ | $1,600 | −$1,600 −100% | 15 |
| 1d | danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyTommy Paul24¢ → 0¢ | $1,680 | −$1,680 −100% | 6 |
| 1d | Optiamo | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | SellTommy Paul24¢ → 0¢ | $1,130 | +$1,130 +100% | — |
| 1d | 0xb5de…cabe | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev82¢ → 100¢ | $1,273 | +$279 +22% | 5 |
| 1d | Wolfhunter1 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul Set 1 Winner | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,962 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | eokho | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyTommy Paul25¢ → 0¢ | $1,133 | −$1,133 −100% | 6 |
| 1d |  tradecraft | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyTommy Paul18¢ → 0¢ | $1,620 | −$1,620 −100% | 6 |
| 1d |  TRCM | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyTommy Paul18¢ → 0¢ | $1,620 | −$1,620 −100% | 6 |
| 1d | flatbarrel | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyTommy Paul18¢ → 0¢ | $1,620 | −$1,620 −100% | 6 |
| 1d | Flaznorp | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyTommy Paul18¢ → 0¢ | $7,774 | −$7,774 −100% | 6 |
| 1d | 0000a | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev89¢ → 100¢ | $31,105 | +$3,895 +13% | 5 |
| 1d | Calm-Backburn | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | SellDaniil Medvedev88¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | −$180 −14% | — |
| 1d | Gumayusi98 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | SellDaniil Medvedev88¢ → 100¢ | $1,584 | −$216 −14% | — |
| 1d |  coinlaundry2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev88¢ → 100¢ | $14,930 | +$1,973 +13% | 5 |
| 1d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev86¢ → 100¢ | $2,074 | +$331 +16% | 5 |
| 1d | Arcus-AI | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev81¢ → 100¢ | $1,435 | +$336 +23% | 5 |
| 1d | sc1pt0x | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev84¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$305 +19% | 5 |
| 1d | Wolfhunter1 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul Set 1 Winner | BuyDaniil Medvedev54¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | +$896 +84% | 6 |
| 1d | jtwyslljy | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyTommy Paul33¢ → 0¢ | $2,310 | −$2,310 −100% | 6 |
| 1d | Bite-Sized-Strawberry | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev68¢ → 100¢ | $6,800 | +$3,200 +47% | 6 |
| 1d | isco22 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev69¢ → 100¢ | $7,948 | +$3,571 +45% | 6 |
| 1d | juice-fruit8 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev67¢ → 100¢ | $149,748 | +$72,785 +49% | 6 |
| 1d |  0xwise | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyTommy Paul32¢ → 0¢ | $1,012 | −$1,012 −100% | 6 |
| 1d | Exalted-Evocation | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev69¢ → 100¢ | $1,291 | +$580 +45% | 6 |
| 1d | Avrtsz | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyTommy Paul32¢ → 0¢ | $3,507 | −$3,507 −100% | 6 |
| 1d | Kangta6365 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul | BuyDaniil Medvedev69¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$1,258 +45% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Tommy Paul in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Tommy Paul. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul means the market gives it about 100%.