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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | 100% | +28 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 Winner | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 38.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Game Spread +/-4.5 | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 100% | +68 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 36.5 | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 4 Winner | 50% | +1 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 0% | −60 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 3 Winner | 100% | +64 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 Winner | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 40.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +23 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% | −2 pts | — | 41¢ · 55¢ (14¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42d | Nanijau | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $2,028 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 42d | Rico1234 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $5,361 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 42d |  Mr.Kirk | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 42d | BunCaCham | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,544 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 42d | malavika9933 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 4 Winner | BuyMedvedev55¢ → 50¢ | $1,100 | −$100 −9.1% | 6 |
| 42d | johnnnnnnn | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyDaniil Medvedev95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 4 |
| 42d | flatbarrel4 fills | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellDaniil Medvedev82¢ → 100¢ | $9,994 | −$2,159 −22% | — |
| 42d | Flaznorp9 fills | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyDaniil Medvedev73¢ → 100¢ | $31,157 | +$11,577 +37% | 6 |
| 42d | flatbarrel2 fills | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyDaniil Medvedev75¢ → 100¢ | $12,670 | +$4,330 +34% | 6 |
| 43d | ethanaz2 fills | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyMedvedev40¢ → 100¢ | $9,886 | +$15,103 +153% | 6 |
| 43d | hamlo | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech28¢ → 0¢ | $2,232 | −$2,232 −100% | 6 |
| 43d | SchruteBucks | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellDaniil Medvedev73¢ → 100¢ | $2,511 | −$929 −37% | — |
| 43d | sbsigner | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech28¢ → 0¢ | $1,585 | −$1,585 −100% | 6 |
| 43d | ferrariChampions2026 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 Winner | BuyMedvedev60¢ → 100¢ | $9,164 | +$6,109 +67% | 6 |
| 43d | HomeRunHazard | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyDaniil Medvedev73¢ → 100¢ | $7,132 | +$2,638 +37% | 6 |
| 43d |  TRCM | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyDaniil Medvedev73¢ → 100¢ | $10,950 | +$4,050 +37% | 6 |
| 43d | SchruteBucks | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyDaniil Medvedev73¢ → 100¢ | $5,110 | +$1,890 +37% | 6 |
| 43d |  tradecraft | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyDaniil Medvedev73¢ → 100¢ | $10,950 | +$4,050 +37% | 6 |
| 43d |  VeryLucky888 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellDaniil Medvedev70¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | −$1,500 −43% | — |
| 43d | ethanaz | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Game Spread +/-4.5 | BuyRinderknech53¢ → 0¢ | $15,737 | −$15,737 −100% | 6 |
| 43d | ethanaz | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyRinderknech45¢ → 0¢ | $14,068 | −$14,068 −100% | 6 |
| 43d | unknownloser1 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech32¢ → 0¢ | $8,000 | −$8,000 −100% | 6 |
| 43d | ethanaz | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 38.5 | BuyOver51¢ → 0¢ | $8,293 | −$8,293 −100% | 6 |
| 43d | HomeRunHazard | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 38.5 | BuyOver51¢ → 0¢ | $4,846 | −$4,846 −100% | 6 |
| 43d | ferrariChampions20263 fills | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech28¢ → 0¢ | $27,398 | −$27,398 −100% | 4 |
| 43d | ferrariChampions20264 fills | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 Winner | BuyRinderknech38¢ → 0¢ | $12,160 | −$12,160 −100% | 6 |
| 43d | tradecraft | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech27¢ → 0¢ | $1,169 | −$1,169 −100% | 6 |
| 43d | beachboy42 fills | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyDaniil Medvedev74¢ → 100¢ | $64,714 | +$23,250 +36% | 6 |
| 43d | neutralwave23 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech28¢ → 0¢ | $1,830 | −$1,830 −100% | 6 |
| 43d | Rico1234 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyDaniil Medvedev73¢ → 100¢ | $3,940 | +$1,426 +36% | 6 |
| 43d | omnibus-076daa2 fills | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech27¢ → 0¢ | $4,812 | −$4,812 −100% | 6 |
| 43d | Nanijau | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyDaniil Medvedev74¢ → 100¢ | $1,502 | +$528 +35% | 6 |
| 43d | Generous-Burning2 fills | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 38.5 | BuyOver51¢ → 0¢ | $3,700 | −$3,700 −100% | 4 |
| 43d |  mooseborzoi | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyMedvedev58¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | +$891 +72% | 6 |
| 43d | Sick-Backyard | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech27¢ → 0¢ | $2,455 | −$2,455 −100% | 6 |
| 43d | Mad-Wound | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyDaniil Medvedev74¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$773 +35% | 4 |
| 43d | AV23IUa | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyDaniil Medvedev73¢ → 100¢ | $26,818 | +$9,919 +37% | 4 |
| 43d |  hobo69 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 36.5 | BuyOver55¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 4 |
LaRemontada12,000 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Arthur Rinderknech in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Arthur Rinderknech. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech means the market gives it about 100%.