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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff | 100% | +15 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff Game Spread +/-4.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +39 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 Winner | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 2 Winner | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | gordonlgy | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,011 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 14d | Hard-Ironclad | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff Game Spread +/-4.5 | BuyDaniil Medvedev96¢ → 100¢ | $1,247 | +$53 +4.2% | 4 |
| 14d | UpTheBlues5 fills | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff | BuyDaniil Medvedev98¢ → 100¢ | $18,965 | +$303 +1.6% | 4 |
| 14d | Momo63 | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff | BuyDaniil Medvedev98¢ → 100¢ | $10,094 | +$164 +1.6% | 4 |
| 14d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff | BuyDaniil Medvedev96¢ → 100¢ | $6,137 | +$238 +3.9% | 4 |
| 14d | Illiasca | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff | BuyDaniil Medvedev86¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | +$374 +16% | 5 |
| 14d | jtwyslljy | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff | BuyJan-Lennard Struff15¢ → 0¢ | $1,290 | −$1,290 −100% | 6 |
| 14d | jaytee158 | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff | BuyDaniil Medvedev86¢ → 100¢ | $29,003 | +$4,721 +16% | 5 |
| 14d | omnibus-076daa2 fills | China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff | BuyDaniil Medvedev85¢ → 100¢ | $5,397 | +$952 +18% | 5 |
no1dodgersfan7,207 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Jan-Lennard Struff in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Jan-Lennard Struff. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff means the market gives it about 100%.