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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76d | Cbrojasg | Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny | SellShintaro Mochizuki>99¢ | $2,134 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 76d | Arcus-AI | Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny | SellShintaro Mochizuki96¢ → 100¢ | $1,233 | −$48 −3.9% | — |
| 76d |  RN1 | Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny | BuyShintaro Mochizuki63¢ → 100¢ | $1,474 | +$866 +59% | 6 |
| 76d | Guilty-Receipt | Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny | SellShintaro Mochizuki64¢ → 100¢ | $12,542 | −$7,114 −57% | — |
| 76d | Substantial-Service | Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny | BuyShintaro Mochizuki60¢ → 100¢ | $4,517 | +$3,011 +67% | 6 |
| 76d | 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny | BuyShintaro Mochizuki60¢ → 100¢ | $1,127 | +$752 +67% | 6 |
| 76d | Guilty-Receipt | Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny | BuyShintaro Mochizuki59¢ → 100¢ | $11,710 | +$8,090 +69% | 6 |
| 76d | DIKJE | Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny | BuyDane Sweeny43¢ → 0¢ | $1,600 | −$1,600 −100% | 6 |
| 76d |  one8tyfive | Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny | BuyDane Sweeny53¢ → 0¢ | $2,042 | −$2,042 −100% | 6 |
| 76d | one8tyfive | Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny | BuyShintaro Mochizuki38¢ → 100¢ | $3,420 | +$5,580 +163% | 6 |
| 76d |  msm299 | Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny | BuyDane Sweeny75¢ → 0¢ | $1,125 | −$1,125 −100% | 6 |
| 76d | 911lover | Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny | SellDane Sweeny71¢ → 0¢ | $4,260 | +$4,260 +100% | — |
| 76d | kubiks | Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny | BuyDane Sweeny72¢ → 0¢ | $2,776 | −$2,776 −100% | 6 |
| 76d | ferrariChampions2026 | Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny | BuyDane Sweeny70¢ → 0¢ | $3,258 | −$3,258 −100% | 6 |
| 76d | HomeRunHazard | Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny | BuyShintaro Mochizuki32¢ → 100¢ | $1,481 | +$3,147 +212% | 6 |
| 76d | 911lover | Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny | BuyDane Sweeny70¢ → 0¢ | $4,200 | −$4,200 −100% | 6 |
| 76d | flatbarrel | Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny | BuyDane Sweeny67¢ → 0¢ | $1,420 | −$1,420 −100% | 6 |
| 76d |  RiskIsForLosers2 fills | Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny | BuyShintaro Mochizuki33¢ → 100¢ | $9,535 | +$19,359 +203% | 6 |
| 77d | JAMJAMJAM4 | Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny | BuyShintaro Mochizuki59¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | +$742 +69% | 4 |
robinvanpersie3,826 sharesmsm2992,500 shares
TRCM1,246 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Dane Sweeny in the Canadian Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Dane Sweeny. This market will resolve to 'Dane Sweeny' if Dane Sweeny advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny means the market gives it about 100%.