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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao Game Spread +/-6.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao Set 2 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | — | — | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 3¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25d | HarryRitter | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao | SellShintaro Mochizuki>99¢ | $1,056 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | Laoxiong2 fills | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao | BuyShintaro Mochizuki91¢ → 100¢ | $3,600 | +$367 +10% | 5 |
| 25d | NS135 fills | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao | BuyLinang Xiao31¢ → 0¢ | $10,433 | −$10,433 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | Reliable-Giggle | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao | SellShintaro Mochizuki62¢ → 100¢ | $2,013 | −$1,230 −61% | — |
| 25d | omnibus-076daa4 fills | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao | BuyShintaro Mochizuki65¢ → 100¢ | $16,325 | +$8,791 +54% | 6 |
| 25d | ferrariChampions20263 fills | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao | BuyLinang Xiao34¢ → 0¢ | $4,610 | −$4,610 −100% | 6 |
| 25d |  tradecraft | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao | BuyShintaro Mochizuki56¢ → 100¢ | $1,650 | +$1,313 +80% | 6 |
| 25d | omnibus-076daa3 fills | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao | BuyLinang Xiao43¢ → 0¢ | $8,578 | −$8,578 −100% | 6 |
| 25d |  RN1 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao | BuyShintaro Mochizuki63¢ → 100¢ | $1,681 | +$988 +59% | 6 |
| 25d | Stavaharon | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao | SellLinang Xiao31¢ → 0¢ | $1,514 | +$1,514 +100% | — |
| 25d | Reliable-Giggle | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao | BuyShintaro Mochizuki66¢ → 100¢ | $2,660 | +$1,370 +52% | 6 |
| 25d | Reliable-Giggle | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao | SellLinang Xiao52¢ → 0¢ | $2,664 | +$2,664 +100% | — |
| 25d | ferrariChampions20265 fills | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao | BuyShintaro Mochizuki67¢ → 100¢ | $11,908 | +$5,797 +49% | 6 |
| 25d | realcaller | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao | SellShintaro Mochizuki71¢ → 100¢ | $2,342 | −$956 −41% | — |
| 25d | Laoxiong | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao | SellShintaro Mochizuki73¢ → 100¢ | $1,705 | −$631 −37% | — |
| 25d | Immense-Sitar | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao | SellShintaro Mochizuki73¢ → 100¢ | $1,925 | −$712 −37% | — |
| 25d | Immense-Sitar | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao | BuyShintaro Mochizuki82¢ → 100¢ | $2,162 | +$475 +22% | 5 |
| 25d | unknownloser1 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao | BuyLinang Xiao20¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | thestingsnake2 fills | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao | SellShintaro Mochizuki86¢ → 100¢ | $2,615 | −$440 −17% | — |
| 25d | 1Day100USD | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao | BuyShintaro Mochizuki85¢ → 100¢ | $1,844 | +$325 +18% | 5 |
| 25d | Reliable-Giggle | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao | BuyLinang Xiao25¢ → 0¢ | $1,270 | −$1,270 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | Calm-Ikebana | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao | SellShintaro Mochizuki91¢ → 100¢ | $2,946 | −$291 −9.9% | — |
| 25d | Stavaharon | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao | BuyLinang Xiao20¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Linang Xiao in the Chengdu Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Linang Xiao. This market will resolve to 'Linang Xiao' if Linang Xiao advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao means the market gives it about 100%.