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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Set 1 Winner | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Set 2 Winner | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +43 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +24 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64d | blessedna | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon | SellMariano Navone>99¢ | $1,528 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 64d | kibanachi | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon | SellMariano Navone>99¢ | $12,038 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 64d | 0xd4c2…1e3a | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon | SellMariano Navone>99¢ | $1,022 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 64d | Substantial-Service | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon | BuyMariano Navone72¢ → 100¢ | $2,565 | +$1,002 +39% | 6 |
| 64d | jarosbill2 fills | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon | BuyMariano Navone67¢ → 100¢ | $8,845 | +$4,355 +49% | 6 |
| 64d | Reliable-Giggle | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon | SellRaphael Collignon25¢ → 0¢ | $1,180 | +$1,180 +100% | — |
| 64d | kibanachi | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon | BuyMariano Navone83¢ → 100¢ | $10,020 | +$1,980 +20% | 5 |
| 64d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon | BuyMariano Navone85¢ → 100¢ | $6,273 | +$1,072 +17% | 5 |
| 64d | swisstony | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon | BuyMariano Navone95¢ → 100¢ | $4,833 | +$254 +5.3% | 4 |
| 64d | alaskabaked | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon | SellRaphael Collignon12¢ → 0¢ | $1,738 | +$1,738 +100% | — |
| 64d | Rash-Copying | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon | BuyRaphael Collignon28¢ → 0¢ | $3,500 | −$3,500 −100% | 6 |
| 64d | Rash-Copying2 fills | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon | SellMariano Navone73¢ → 100¢ | $13,939 | −$5,156 −37% | — |
| 64d | lionkk | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon | SellMariano Navone73¢ → 100¢ | $2,250 | −$832 −37% | — |
| 64d | jerseys | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon | BuyMariano Navone74¢ → 100¢ | $3,330 | +$1,170 +35% | 6 |
| 64d | Hard-Ironclad | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Set 1 Winner | BuyNavone99¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 64d | alaskabaked | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon | BuyRaphael Collignon49¢ → 0¢ | $7,098 | −$7,098 −100% | 6 |
| 64d | Rash-Copying | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon | BuyMariano Navone52¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$9,095 +91% | 6 |
| 64d |  one8tyfive | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon | SellMariano Navone49¢ → 100¢ | $2,554 | −$2,659 −104% | — |
| 64d | lionkk | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon | BuyMariano Navone49¢ → 100¢ | $1,510 | +$1,572 +104% | 6 |
| 64d | one8tyfive | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon | BuyMariano Navone47¢ → 100¢ | $2,449 | +$2,761 +113% | 6 |
| 64d | zagzig123 | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon | BuyMariano Navone42¢ → 100¢ | $5,679 | +$7,843 +138% | 6 |
| 64d | ferrariChampions2026 | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon | BuyRaphael Collignon58¢ → 0¢ | $7,315 | −$7,315 −100% | 6 |
| 64d | riverskew | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon | BuyRaphael Collignon57¢ → 0¢ | $1,591 | −$1,591 −100% | 6 |
| 64d | jtwyslljy2 fills | Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon | BuyMariano Navone44¢ → 100¢ | $2,640 | +$3,360 +127% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Raphael Collignon in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Raphael Collignon. This market will resolve to 'Raphael Collignon' if Raphael Collignon advances against Mariano Navone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon means the market gives it about 100%.