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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Game Spread +/-6.5 | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 100% | +62 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 0% | −57 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 Winner | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 Winner | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +35 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 Winner | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 36.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 38.5 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 40.5 | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +47 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40d | Triplosettete | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 Winner | SellAlcaraz>99¢ | $1,604 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 40d | insidiousidiot | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | SellCarlos Alcaraz>99¢ | $2,505 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 40d | Genuine-Turning-Research | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | SellCarlos Alcaraz>99¢ | $30,519 | −$31 −0.1% | — |
| 40d | saltibiscoti | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | SellCarlos Alcaraz>99¢ | $6,690 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 40d | NightStalker106 | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | SellCarlos Alcaraz>99¢ | $1,480 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 40d |  fkurwifefromtheback | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | SellCarlos Alcaraz>99¢ | $2,775 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 40d | RDXR | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | SellCarlos Alcaraz>99¢ | $8,490 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 40d | gamblito | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | SellCarlos Alcaraz>99¢ | $5,160 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 40d |  KARTEROR | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz>99¢ | $8,018 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 40d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz100¢ | $12,640 | +$64 +0.5% | 4 |
| 40d | BunCaCham4 fills | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz99¢ → 100¢ | $56,405 | +$480 +0.9% | 4 |
| 40d | Cavernous-Undershirt | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | SellCarlos Alcaraz97¢ → 100¢ | $7,991 | −$251 −3.1% | — |
| 40d |  Belgaron | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz100¢ | $1,400 | +$7 +0.5% | 4 |
| 40d | tato14 | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz99¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$18 +0.8% | 4 |
| 40d |  JeroHJ | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | SellCarlos Alcaraz99¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | −$14 −1.1% | — |
| 40d | Paul973973 | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$36 +1.2% | 4 |
| 40d | curie | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz98¢ → 100¢ | $1,668 | +$38 +2.2% | 4 |
| 40d | omoi0i0 | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz99¢ → 100¢ | $4,954 | +$75 +1.5% | 4 |
| 40d | Ru386 | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz98¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$145 +2.4% | 4 |
| 40d | Triplosettete | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 Winner | BuyAlcaraz87¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$205 +15% | 5 |
| 40d | Flaznorp7 fills | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz81¢ → 100¢ | $25,302 | +$5,964 +24% | 5 |
| 40d | whoneed2 fills | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz97¢ → 100¢ | $2,867 | +$80 +2.8% | 4 |
| 40d | softmaxi | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz97¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | +$60 +3.1% | 4 |
| 40d |  barocco | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | SellCarlos Alcaraz97¢ → 100¢ | $2,393 | −$77 −3.2% | — |
| 40d | gamblito | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz97¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$165 +3.3% | 4 |
| 40d | omnibus-076daa2 fills | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz88¢ → 100¢ | $5,644 | +$758 +13% | 5 |
| 40d | Antblack2 fills | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyTommy Paul16¢ → 0¢ | $15,000 | −$15,000 −100% | 6 |
| 40d | 0F624 fills | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz94¢ → 100¢ | $96,515 | +$6,569 +6.8% | 4 |
| 40d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz91¢ → 100¢ | $15,304 | +$1,602 +10% | 5 |
| 40d | Cavernous-Undershirt | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz96¢ → 100¢ | $7,800 | +$320 +4.1% | 4 |
| 40d | johnnnnnnn | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz96¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$80 +4.2% | 4 |
| 40d | SplendidAmadeus2 fills | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz87¢ → 100¢ | $6,402 | +$926 +14% | 5 |
| 40d |  mooseborzoi | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz93¢ → 100¢ | $6,207 | +$467 +7.5% | 4 |
| 40d | nardowick322 | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz93¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$181 +7.5% | 4 |
| 40d | saltibiscoti | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz89¢ → 100¢ | $5,898 | +$729 +12% | 5 |
| 40d | xabidaking | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyTommy Paul19¢ → 0¢ | $2,182 | −$2,182 −100% | 6 |
| 40d | xhdwnubfzefvbkefjweof2h5z1tzh211t316ttj1h | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz80¢ → 100¢ | $1,403 | +$351 +25% | 5 |
| 40d | Kkunn | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyTommy Paul23¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 40d | RDXR | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz79¢ → 100¢ | $6,713 | +$1,785 +27% | 5 |
| 40d |  tradecraft4 fills | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz79¢ → 100¢ | $25,324 | +$6,629 +26% | 5 |
| 40d | Petty-Frame | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz78¢ → 100¢ | $1,419 | +$400 +28% | 5 |
| 40d | SchruteBucks | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | SellCarlos Alcaraz79¢ → 100¢ | $1,529 | −$406 −27% | — |
| 40d | Sreem | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz80¢ → 100¢ | $2,737 | +$684 +25% | 5 |
| 40d | casper7 | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz80¢ → 100¢ | $1,857 | +$464 +25% | 5 |
| 40d |  CORGII4 fills | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyTommy Paul20¢ → 0¢ | $18,456 | −$18,456 −100% | 6 |
| 40d | schwifty33 | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz81¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$469 +23% | 5 |
| 40d |  RN14 fills | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz79¢ → 100¢ | $8,745 | +$2,325 +27% | 5 |
| 40d | Eztennis4 fills | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyTommy Paul21¢ → 0¢ | $30,800 | −$30,800 −100% | 6 |
| 40d |  ArturitoFilito | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz79¢ → 100¢ | $51,586 | +$13,713 +27% | 5 |
| 40d |  one8tyfive | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz79¢ → 100¢ | $22,120 | +$5,880 +27% | 5 |
| 40d | flatbarrel | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz79¢ → 100¢ | $11,850 | +$3,150 +27% | 5 |
| 40d | SchruteBucks2 fills | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz79¢ → 100¢ | $7,517 | +$1,998 +27% | 5 |
| 40d |  TRCM | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz79¢ → 100¢ | $11,850 | +$3,150 +27% | 5 |
| 40d | dbbbt | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz79¢ → 100¢ | $1,597 | +$424 +27% | 5 |
| 40d | Substantial-Service | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz79¢ → 100¢ | $49,169 | +$13,070 +27% | 5 |
| 40d | ferrariChampions20263 fills | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz79¢ → 100¢ | $43,661 | +$11,387 +26% | 4 |
| 40d | Substantial-Service | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyTommy Paul20¢ → 0¢ | $2,813 | −$2,813 −100% | 6 |
| 40d | Kaleidoscopic-Clue | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz81¢ → 100¢ | $1,863 | +$437 +23% | 5 |
| 40d | madkkee | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz85¢ → 100¢ | $14,004 | +$2,471 +18% | 5 |
| 40d | Hoch | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz85¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$266 +18% | 5 |
CORGII93,527 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Carlos Alcaraz in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Tommy Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz means the market gives it about 0%.