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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Game Spread +/-1.5 | 100% | +48 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +63 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 Winner | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 1d |
| Completed Match | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 Winner | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −62 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +15 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 1d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | 0xde5d…9192 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | SellTommy Paul>99¢ | $1,310 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | madkkee2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | SellTommy Paul>99¢ | $25,129 | −$25 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | qwewrasdzxffdfzvdfgdzhfdh | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | SellTommy Paul>99¢ | $3,300 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | Nh1989 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | SellTommy Paul>99¢ | $1,531 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | UpTheBlues5 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyTommy Paul85¢ → 100¢ | $13,562 | +$2,438 +18% | 5 |
| 5d | Superficial-Greenhouse | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | SellTommy Paul99¢ → 100¢ | $3,527 | −$35 −1.0% | — |
| 5d | redvinny2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | SellTommy Paul98¢ → 100¢ | $14,601 | −$298 −2.0% | — |
| 5d | Ss1984 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyTommy Paul99¢ → 100¢ | $1,368 | +$14 +1.0% | 4 |
| 5d | Momo632 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyTommy Paul92¢ → 100¢ | $7,049 | +$625 +8.9% | 5 |
| 5d | HomeRunHazard | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyTommy Paul94¢ → 100¢ | $2,366 | +$151 +6.4% | 4 |
| 5d | redvinny3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyTommy Paul80¢ → 100¢ | $7,391 | +$1,866 +25% | 5 |
| 5d |  MurkSniper | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | SellTommy Paul78¢ → 100¢ | $1,588 | −$448 −28% | — |
| 5d | 1337zzz1337 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot23¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | dmoralez2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | SellValentin Vacherot41¢ → 0¢ | $3,348 | +$3,348 +100% | — |
| 5d |  0xwise | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | SellValentin Vacherot18¢ → 0¢ | $2,226 | +$2,226 +100% | — |
| 5d | xabidaking | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot22¢ → 0¢ | $2,396 | −$2,396 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | Superficial-Greenhouse | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyTommy Paul78¢ → 100¢ | $5,927 | +$1,672 +28% | 5 |
| 5d | Polyplayer14 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyTommy Paul76¢ → 100¢ | $6,006 | +$1,897 +32% | 6 |
| 5d | Luzzzer | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | SellTommy Paul75¢ → 100¢ | $8,432 | −$2,811 −33% | — |
| 5d | nuuki | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot42¢ → 0¢ | $4,200 | −$4,200 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | UpTheBlues | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot44¢ → 0¢ | $1,279 | −$1,279 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | kdvlklkvlsklkfs4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyTommy Paul55¢ → 100¢ | $31,571 | +$25,694 +81% | 6 |
| 5d | HomeRunHazard | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot44¢ → 0¢ | $2,076 | −$2,076 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | Flaznorp3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot43¢ → 0¢ | $7,241 | −$7,241 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | Dom91 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyTommy Paul60¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$667 +67% | 6 |
| 5d | 0x760f…326a | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot38¢ → 0¢ | $15,000 | −$15,000 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | Spotless-Girlfriend2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyTommy Paul69¢ → 100¢ | $4,395 | +$1,976 +45% | 6 |
| 5d | omnibus-076daa | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyTommy Paul68¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$516 +47% | 6 |
| 5d | madkkee2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyTommy Paul63¢ → 100¢ | $8,793 | +$5,217 +59% | 6 |
| 5d | kkookkoo | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot44¢ → 0¢ | $3,800 | −$3,800 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | 0xwise2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot50¢ → 0¢ | $4,900 | −$4,900 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | dmoralez | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | SellTommy Paul55¢ → 100¢ | $2,620 | −$2,144 −82% | — |
| 5d | Flaznorp | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyTommy Paul51¢ → 100¢ | $11,773 | +$11,311 +96% | 6 |
| 5d | flatbarrel | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyTommy Paul51¢ → 100¢ | $4,590 | +$4,410 +96% | 6 |
| 5d |  tradecraft | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyTommy Paul51¢ → 100¢ | $4,588 | +$4,412 +96% | 6 |
| 5d | dmoralez2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyTommy Paul51¢ → 100¢ | $2,157 | +$2,075 +96% | 6 |
| 5d | Kkunn2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot45¢ → 0¢ | $13,676 | −$13,676 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | MilesY | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot54¢ → 0¢ | $2,040 | −$2,040 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | dmoralez2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot49¢ → 0¢ | $2,131 | −$2,131 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | Exalted-Evocation | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyTommy Paul57¢ → 100¢ | $2,483 | +$1,873 +75% | 6 |
| 5d | qwewrasdzxffdfzvdfgdzhfdh | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyTommy Paul59¢ → 100¢ | $1,949 | +$1,354 +69% | 6 |
| 5d | SchruteBucks | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | SellTommy Paul60¢ → 100¢ | $1,545 | −$1,030 −67% | — |
| 5d | SchruteBucks | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyTommy Paul61¢ → 100¢ | $1,830 | +$1,170 +64% | 6 |
| 5d |  TRCM | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyTommy Paul61¢ → 100¢ | $1,540 | +$985 +64% | 6 |
| 5d | Luzzzer | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyTommy Paul61¢ → 100¢ | $6,857 | +$4,385 +64% | 6 |
| 5d |  nigiri99 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot40¢ → 0¢ | $5,129 | −$5,129 −100% | 6 |
| 5d |  only26bob | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot40¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | 0xe98c…8792 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyTommy Paul61¢ → 100¢ | $1,771 | +$1,132 +64% | 6 |
| 5d | Kkunn | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | SellValentin Vacherot39¢ → 0¢ | $5,850 | +$5,850 +100% | — |
| 5d | shreddeds | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot40¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | jtwyslljy | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyValentin Vacherot42¢ → 0¢ | $4,200 | −$4,200 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | RanaAmariPredicts | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyTommy Paul59¢ → 100¢ | $10,400 | +$7,201 +69% | 6 |
| 5d | Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | BuyTommy Paul58¢ → 100¢ | $3,402 | +$2,463 +72% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Valentin Vacherot in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Valentin Vacherot. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Tommy Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot means the market gives it about 100%.