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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | 100% | +20 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo Set 1 Winner | 0% | −73 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +64 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo Set 2 Winner | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +28 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +62 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60d |  FTX2.0 | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | SellTommy Paul>99¢ | $3,489 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 60d | Vivacious-Bankbook | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | SellTommy Paul>99¢ | $1,056 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 60d | danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6 | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | SellTommy Paul>99¢ | $12,676 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 60d | Numb-Ramie | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | SellTommy Paul>99¢ | $11,227 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 60d | blket | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | SellTommy Paul>99¢ | $3,422 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 60d |  alpheclabs | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | SellTommy Paul>99¢ | $1,349 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 60d | jiiivi655 | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | SellTommy Paul>99¢ | $1,052 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 60d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | SellTommy Paul>99¢ | $1,215 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 60d |  hd777 | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul97¢ → 100¢ | $22,551 | +$697 +3.1% | 4 |
| 60d | andylovenba | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul94¢ → 100¢ | $4,888 | +$312 +6.4% | 4 |
| 60d | Reliable-Giggle | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | SellTommy Paul93¢ → 100¢ | $1,707 | −$128 −7.5% | — |
| 60d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul94¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | +$73 +6.4% | 4 |
| 60d |  riggggggedGGGGr2 fills | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyAdolfo Vallejo14¢ → 0¢ | $4,654 | −$4,654 −100% | 6 |
| 60d | blket | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul94¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$191 +6.4% | 4 |
| 60d | hellonewday | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | SellTommy Paul93¢ → 100¢ | $1,241 | −$93 −7.5% | — |
| 60d | dummyricher | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | SellTommy Paul93¢ → 100¢ | $1,147 | −$86 −7.5% | — |
| 60d | supertrader99 | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | SellTommy Paul93¢ → 100¢ | $1,270 | −$96 −7.5% | — |
| 60d | KFCBD | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | SellTommy Paul93¢ → 100¢ | $1,353 | −$102 −7.5% | — |
| 60d | flatbarrel | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul89¢ → 100¢ | $2,619 | +$319 +12% | 5 |
| 60d | dummyricher | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul86¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$173 +16% | 5 |
| 60d | KFCBD | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul84¢ → 100¢ | $1,222 | +$233 +19% | 5 |
| 60d | supertrader99 | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul84¢ → 100¢ | $1,147 | +$219 +19% | 5 |
| 60d | hellonewday | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul84¢ → 100¢ | $1,121 | +$213 +19% | 5 |
| 60d | swisstony | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul59¢ → 100¢ | $1,127 | +$791 +70% | 6 |
| 60d | UsagiMagi | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyAdolfo Vallejo41¢ → 0¢ | $2,286 | −$2,286 −100% | 6 |
| 60d | FTX2.0 | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul60¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$800 +67% | 6 |
| 60d | FTX2.0 | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyAdolfo Vallejo68¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 60d | omnibus-076daa | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyAdolfo Vallejo42¢ → 0¢ | $2,344 | −$2,344 −100% | 6 |
| 60d | kahe | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul66¢ → 100¢ | $9,500 | +$4,894 +52% | 6 |
| 60d | Tantula | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyAdolfo Vallejo29¢ → 0¢ | $3,100 | −$3,100 −100% | 6 |
| 60d | Rash-Copying | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | SellTommy Paul76¢ → 100¢ | $15,278 | −$4,825 −32% | — |
| 60d | 0xa0f2…18484 fills | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul58¢ → 100¢ | $4,640 | +$3,360 +72% | 6 |
| 60d | alaskabaked2 fills | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul48¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$10,984 +110% | 6 |
| 60d | swy013 fills | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul68¢ → 100¢ | $4,314 | +$2,012 +47% | 6 |
| 60d | Rash-Copying | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul50¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$10,103 +101% | 6 |
| 60d | 0x0b14…3ca3 | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | SellAdolfo Vallejo57¢ → 0¢ | $1,220 | +$1,220 +100% | — |
| 60d | 0x0b14…3ca3 | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyAdolfo Vallejo54¢ → 0¢ | $1,156 | −$1,156 −100% | 6 |
| 60d | catzard | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | SellAdolfo Vallejo53¢ → 0¢ | $1,347 | +$1,347 +100% | — |
| 60d | flatbarrel | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyAdolfo Vallejo62¢ → 0¢ | $1,074 | −$1,074 −100% | 6 |
| 60d | Numb-Ramie | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul19¢ → 100¢ | $2,190 | +$9,048 +413% | 6 |
| 60d | 0xf3a1…bf4b | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul31¢ → 100¢ | $2,422 | +$5,391 +223% | 6 |
| 60d | bigoon | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul41¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$6,507 +145% | 6 |
| 60d | swy01 | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | SellTommy Paul27¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | −$2,981 −276% | — |
| 60d | Exalted-Evocation | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyAdolfo Vallejo70¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 6 |
| 60d | Reliable-Giggle | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul45¢ → 100¢ | $1,652 | +$2,019 +122% | 6 |
| 60d | Reliable-Giggle | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | SellAdolfo Vallejo55¢ → 0¢ | $1,460 | +$1,460 +100% | — |
| 60d | danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6 | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul45¢ → 100¢ | $5,400 | +$6,600 +122% | 6 |
| 60d |  tradecraft | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyAdolfo Vallejo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,391 | −$1,391 −100% | 6 |
| 60d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyAdolfo Vallejo53¢ → 0¢ | $10,250 | −$10,250 −100% | 6 |
| 60d |  eskk | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyAdolfo Vallejo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,129 | −$1,129 −100% | 6 |
| 60d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul51¢ → 100¢ | $9,559 | +$9,185 +96% | 6 |
| 60d | 3r0hhqd | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyAdolfo Vallejo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,018 | −$1,018 −100% | 6 |
| 60d | eugenepol0 | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul76¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$474 +32% | 6 |
| 60d | VanGen | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul77¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$2,403 +30% | 6 |
| 60d | tennischamp | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul80¢ → 100¢ | $11,195 | +$2,799 +25% | 5 |
| 60d | Anidood | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul80¢ → 100¢ | $4,640 | +$1,160 +25% | 5 |
| 60d |  JustADonk | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul80¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$500 +25% | 5 |
| 61d | 0000. | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul80¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$1,000 +25% | 4 |
| 61d | k56 | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BuyTommy Paul81¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$479 +24% | 4 |
riggggggedGGGGr33,107 shareseskk4,101 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Adolfo Vallejo in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Adolfo Vallejo. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Tommy Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo means the market gives it about 100%.