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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almaty Open, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $84.1K | in 7d |
| Almaty Open, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $263 | in 7d |
| Almaty Open, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Game Spread +/-2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $128 | in 7d |
| Almaty Open, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $125 | in 7d |
| Almaty Open, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $20.5 | in 7d |
| Almaty Open, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $5 | in 7d |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Almaty Open, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Almaty Open, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Almaty Open, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 7d |
| Almaty Open, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 7d |
| Almaty Open, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Almaty Open, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 7d |
| Almaty Open, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 7d |
| Almaty Open, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Almaty Open, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 7d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h |  MurkSniper | Almaty Open, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin | SellIlia Simakin>99¢ | $1,483 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 5h | Paul973973 | Almaty Open, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin | BuyIlia Simakin94¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$128 +6.4% | 5 |
| 5h | MurkSniper | Almaty Open, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin | BuyIlia Simakin94¢ → 100¢ | $1,396 | +$89 +6.4% | 5 |
| 6h | Kkunn | Almaty Open, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin | BuyIlia Simakin57¢ → 100¢ | $4,560 | +$3,440 +75% | 10 |
| 6h | Kkunn | Almaty Open, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin | SellLuka Pavlovic43¢ → 0¢ | $3,440 | +$3,440 +100% | — |
| 6h |  Aussieoioioi | Almaty Open, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin | BuyLuka Pavlovic44¢ → 0¢ | $2,425 | −$2,425 −100% | 8 |
| 6h | Kkunn | Almaty Open, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin | BuyLuka Pavlovic51¢ → 0¢ | $4,089 | −$4,089 −100% | 10 |
| 6h | 0x4fdc…ca1f | Almaty Open, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin | BuyLuka Pavlovic44¢ → 0¢ | $2,800 | −$2,800 −100% | 9 |
| 6h | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Almaty Open, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin | BuyIlia Simakin50¢ → 100¢ | $1,905 | +$1,905 +100% | 8 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Pavlovic and Ilia Simakin in the Almaty Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Ilia Simakin. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Luka Pavlovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Almaty Open, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin means the market gives it about 0%.