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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −60 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi Set 1 Winner | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi Set 2 Winner | 100% | +67 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +67 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi Game Spread +/-3.5 | 100% | +63 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | UpTheBlues | Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi | BuyPablo Llamas Ruiz95¢ → 100¢ | $4,095 | +$216 +5.3% | 4 |
| 11d | HomeRunHazard3 fills | Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi | BuyPablo Llamas Ruiz89¢ → 100¢ | $4,607 | +$569 +12% | 5 |
| 12d | flatbarrel | Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi | SellPablo Llamas Ruiz80¢ → 100¢ | $1,492 | −$373 −25% | — |
| 12d |  TRCM | Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi | BuyPablo Llamas Ruiz77¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | +$690 +30% | 6 |
| 12d | flatbarrel | Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi | BuyPablo Llamas Ruiz77¢ → 100¢ | $1,467 | +$438 +30% | 6 |
| 12d | kdvlklkvlsklkfs14 fills | Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi | BuyLuca Nardi38¢ → 0¢ | $143,385 | −$143K −100% | 6 |
| 12d | Substantial-Service | Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi | BuyPablo Llamas Ruiz61¢ → 100¢ | $2,130 | +$1,362 +64% | 6 |
MartyFinklestein643 shares
clownly600 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Llamas Ruiz and Luca Nardi in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Llamas Ruiz' if Pablo Llamas Ruiz advances against Luca Nardi. This market will resolve to 'Luca Nardi' if Luca Nardi advances against Pablo Llamas Ruiz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi means the market gives it about 100%.