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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 184d | sniper00me | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | SellDenis Shapovalov>99¢ | $5,643 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 184d | Lne89 | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | SellDenis Shapovalov>99¢ | $1,440 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 184d | eokho | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | SellDenis Shapovalov>99¢ | $1,229 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 184d |  xx21341asfd | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | SellDenis Shapovalov>99¢ | $3,823 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 184d | Reliable-GiggleNew account | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | SellDenis Shapovalov>99¢ | $4,117 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 184d | TheLegionstays | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | SellDenis Shapovalov>99¢ | $1,161 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 184d | nottolost | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | SellDenis Shapovalov>99¢ | $2,873 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 184d | Brotherkara | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | SellDenis Shapovalov>99¢ | $1,066 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 184d | SMCAOMCRL2 fills | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyDenis Shapovalov74¢ → 100¢ | $3,378 | +$1,167 +35% | 6 |
| 184d | swisstony | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyDenis Shapovalov98¢ → 100¢ | $1,674 | +$34 +2.0% | 4 |
| 184d | 0x3e3e…7857 | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | SellDenis Shapovalov98¢ → 100¢ | $1,456 | −$30 −2.0% | — |
| 184d | Jrdvbzf | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | SellDenis Shapovalov99¢ → 100¢ | $3,372 | −$34 −1.0% | — |
| 184d | sovereign2013 | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyDenis Shapovalov89¢ → 100¢ | $2,324 | +$287 +12% | 5 |
| 184d | Noclo | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyDenis Shapovalov83¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | +$236 +20% | 5 |
| 184d | ferrariChampions20263 fills | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyFabian Marozsan48¢ → 0¢ | $11,658 | −$11,658 −100% | 6 |
| 184d |  tradecraft | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyDenis Shapovalov78¢ → 100¢ | $1,809 | +$512 +28% | 5 |
| 184d | Jrdvbzf | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyDenis Shapovalov68¢ → 100¢ | $2,294 | +$1,079 +47% | 6 |
| 184d | sniper00me | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyDenis Shapovalov58¢ → 100¢ | $3,231 | +$2,345 +73% | 6 |
| 184d | ferrariChampions2026 | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyDenis Shapovalov33¢ → 100¢ | $7,979 | +$16,201 +203% | 6 |
| 184d | ekib2 fills | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyFabian Marozsan61¢ → 0¢ | $20,963 | −$20,963 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | swisstony3 fills | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyFabian Marozsan61¢ → 0¢ | $5,070 | −$5,070 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | Unrealistic-Twins | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyFabian Marozsan65¢ → 0¢ | $2,937 | −$2,937 −100% | 6 |
| 184d |  MathPsycho2 fills | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyFabian Marozsan54¢ → 0¢ | $3,185 | −$3,185 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | Reliable-GiggleNew account | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyDenis Shapovalov49¢ → 100¢ | $1,976 | +$2,081 +105% | 18 |
| 184d | xx21341asfd | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyDenis Shapovalov47¢ → 100¢ | $969 | +$1,076 +111% | 6 |
| 184d | maxgreen | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyDenis Shapovalov45¢ → 100¢ | $10,757 | +$13,147 +122% | 6 |
| 184d |  FTX2.02 fills | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyFabian Marozsan55¢ → 0¢ | $8,339 | −$8,339 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | thegoatofgoat | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyFabian Marozsan56¢ → 0¢ | $1,877 | −$1,877 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | igetlitty | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyFabian Marozsan55¢ → 0¢ | $6,232 | −$6,232 −100% | 6 |
| 184d |  zibert17152 fills | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyFabian Marozsan55¢ → 0¢ | $2,177 | −$2,177 −100% | 6 |
| 184d |  WarewaPain | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyFabian Marozsan55¢ → 0¢ | $2,688 | −$2,688 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | oudine2 | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyFabian Marozsan55¢ → 0¢ | $4,015 | −$4,015 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | BTCGambler247 | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyFabian Marozsan55¢ → 0¢ | $4,554 | −$4,554 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | borach | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyDenis Shapovalov45¢ → 100¢ | $1,451 | +$1,773 +122% | 6 |
| 184d | Visible-Brain | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyDenis Shapovalov45¢ → 100¢ | $3,133 | +$3,829 +122% | 6 |
| 184d | naozong | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | SellFabian Marozsan55¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | +$1,300 +100% | — |
| 184d | gaoshi | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | SellFabian Marozsan54¢ → 0¢ | $1,326 | +$1,326 +100% | — |
| 184d | 8877wudi | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | SellFabian Marozsan55¢ → 0¢ | $2,201 | +$2,201 +100% | — |
| 184d | Neat-Brushfire | BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | BuyDenis Shapovalov45¢ → 100¢ | $7,398 | +$9,041 +122% | 4 |
FTX2.016,361 shares
DCABC6,932 sharesMathPsycho5,960 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Denis Shapovalov and Fabian Marozsan in the BMW Open, originally scheduled for April 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Fabian Marozsan. This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Denis Shapovalov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan means the market gives it about 100%.