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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 Winner | 100% | +63 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 Winner | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 3 Winner | 0% | −64 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Game Spread +/-3.5 | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 36.5 | 100% | +37 pts | — | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 38.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · 4¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +22 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 4 Winner | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +62 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 40.5 | 100% | +47 pts | — | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +40 pts | — | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +40 pts | — | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47d | 0xb3ba…f84e | US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech99¢ → 100¢ | $2,471 | +$29 +1.2% | 4 |
| 48d | 0x6db5…e279 | US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech79¢ → 100¢ | $4,106 | +$1,104 +27% | 5 |
| 48d | 0x02fd…104c | US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 Winner | BuyRinderknech71¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$617 +41% | 6 |
| 48d |  88M2 fills | US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech61¢ → 100¢ | $4,325 | +$2,816 +65% | 6 |
| 48d |  tradecraft | US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuySho Shimabukuro41¢ → 0¢ | $3,161 | −$3,161 −100% | 6 |
| 48d | beachboy411 fills | US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech80¢ → 100¢ | $165,982 | +$42,203 +25% | 5 |
| 48d | JAMJAMJAM4 | US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech77¢ → 100¢ | $2,002 | +$598 +30% | 4 |
| 48d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech75¢ → 100¢ | $19,804 | +$6,601 +33% | 4 |
| 48d | ferrariChampions2026 | US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuySho Shimabukuro25¢ → 0¢ | $2,498 | −$2,498 −100% | 4 |
| 48d | fastball672 fills | US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech75¢ → 100¢ | $6,841 | +$2,280 +33% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Arthur Rinderknech in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sho Shimabukuro' if Sho Shimabukuro advances against Arthur Rinderknech. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Sho Shimabukuro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech means the market gives it about 0%.