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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil Majchrzak | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil Majchrzak Game Spread +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 2 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil Majchrzak Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil Majchrzak Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil Majchrzak Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil Majchrzak Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil Majchrzak Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19d | realcaller | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil Majchrzak | SellKamil Majchrzak>99¢ | $1,922 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 19d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil Majchrzak | BuyKamil Majchrzak97¢ → 100¢ | $5,450 | +$176 +3.2% | 4 |
| 19d | redvinny3 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil Majchrzak | SellKamil Majchrzak94¢ → 100¢ | $3,771 | −$253 −6.7% | — |
| 19d | redvinny | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil Majchrzak | BuyKamil Majchrzak92¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$89 +8.7% | 5 |
| 19d | Kkunn3 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil Majchrzak | BuyLorenzo Sonego36¢ → 0¢ | $9,668 | −$9,668 −100% | 6 |
| 19d | RDXR | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil Majchrzak | BuyKamil Majchrzak57¢ → 100¢ | $2,626 | +$1,981 +75% | 6 |
| 19d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil Majchrzak | BuyLorenzo Sonego50¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
eskk7,024 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Kamil Majchrzak in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Kamil Majchrzak. This market will resolve to 'Kamil Majchrzak' if Kamil Majchrzak advances against Lorenzo Sonego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil Majchrzak means the market gives it about 0%.