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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | 0% | −61 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta Game Spread +/-1.5 | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +63 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 Winner | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 Winner | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +19 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | kafgijon | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta>99¢ | $1,793 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 7d | astapzippo | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta>99¢ | $3,400 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 7d | rocket2themoon | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta>99¢ | $1,055 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 7d | Leo626626 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta>99¢ | $2,084 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 7d | kkookkoo2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta99¢ → 100¢ | $2,309 | −$23 −1.0% | — |
| 7d | Kkunn | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta99¢ → 100¢ | $25,880 | −$261 −1.0% | — |
| 7d | suntori | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta99¢ → 100¢ | $5,657 | −$57 −1.0% | — |
| 7d | Leo626626 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta93¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$92 +7.6% | 4 |
| 7d | omnibus-076daa2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta86¢ → 100¢ | $2,142 | +$353 +16% | 5 |
| 7d | DomDomBom | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta91¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$198 +9.9% | 5 |
| 7d | astapzippo | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta84¢ → 100¢ | $2,016 | +$384 +19% | 5 |
| 7d | UpTheBlues5 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta79¢ → 100¢ | $11,480 | +$3,137 +27% | 5 |
| 7d | HomeRunHazard | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta85¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | +$226 +18% | 5 |
| 7d |  Zelenskys-suit | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta77¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | +$690 +30% | 6 |
| 7d | 0x2022x | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta80¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | +$252 +25% | 5 |
| 7d | MilesY | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellAlejandro Tabilo41¢ → 0¢ | $1,482 | +$1,482 +100% | — |
| 7d | Madeira99 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyAlejandro Tabilo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,459 | −$1,459 −100% | 6 |
| 7d | TSFSYD | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyAlejandro Tabilo63¢ → 0¢ | $1,421 | −$1,421 −100% | 6 |
| 7d | UpTheBlues | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyAlejandro Tabilo58¢ → 0¢ | $2,791 | −$2,791 −100% | 6 |
| 7d | Illiasca2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyAlejandro Tabilo74¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 6 |
| 7d | Reliable-Giggle | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta46¢ → 100¢ | $2,022 | −$2,421 −120% | — |
| 7d | jtwyslljy | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta46¢ → 100¢ | $2,760 | −$3,240 −117% | — |
| 7d | kkookkoo2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta36¢ → 100¢ | $4,430 | +$7,816 +176% | 6 |
| 7d | wyshooting | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellAlejandro Tabilo77¢ → 0¢ | $1,155 | +$1,155 +100% | — |
| 7d | suntori | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta25¢ → 100¢ | $1,429 | +$4,286 +300% | 6 |
| 7d | Kkunn | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta20¢ → 100¢ | $5,891 | +$24,096 +409% | 6 |
| 7d | HomeRunHazard | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyAlejandro Tabilo95¢ → 0¢ | $2,199 | −$2,199 −100% | 4 |
| 7d |  BIess | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyAlejandro Tabilo80¢ → 0¢ | $7,616 | −$7,616 −100% | 5 |
| 7d | MilesY | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyAlejandro Tabilo82¢ → 0¢ | $2,963 | −$2,963 −100% | 5 |
| 7d | wyshooting | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyAlejandro Tabilo79¢ → 0¢ | $1,580 | −$1,580 −100% | 5 |
| 7d | jtwyslljy | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta37¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$1,890 +170% | 6 |
| 7d | ferrariChampions2026 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyAlejandro Tabilo61¢ → 0¢ | $11,308 | −$11,308 −100% | 6 |
| 7d | ferrariChampions2026 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta39¢ → 100¢ | $1,609 | +$2,517 +156% | 4 |
BIess9,520 shares
one8tyfive2,880 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Alejandro Tabilo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta means the market gives it about 0%.