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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic Set 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73d | 0xb94c…ae33 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | SellFrances Tiafoe>99¢ | $1,399 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 73d | swy01 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | SellFrances Tiafoe>99¢ | $4,675 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 73d |  Lawsuitevidencaugust20262 fills | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | SellFrances Tiafoe>99¢ | $7,995 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 73d | hurrican | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | SellFrances Tiafoe>99¢ | $9,245 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 73d | bordyugaqq | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | SellFrances Tiafoe>99¢ | $2,148 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 73d |  Hakbsnn | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | SellFrances Tiafoe>99¢ | $1,210 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 73d | JerOri | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | SellFrances Tiafoe>99¢ | $1,299 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 73d | Petty-Goodwill-Shoemaker | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | SellFrances Tiafoe>99¢ | $1,074 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 73d |  hd777 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | SellFrances Tiafoe>99¢ | $2,691 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 73d | Numb-Ramie | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | SellFrances Tiafoe>99¢ | $4,147 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 73d | Rock.San3 fills | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe>99¢ | $34,787 | +$35 +0.1% | 4 |
| 73d | thatsabing0 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe>99¢ | $37,560 | +$38 +0.1% | 4 |
| 73d | pelik | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe>99¢ | $30,000 | +$30 +0.1% | 4 |
| 73d | yupiiiiiiiii | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe>99¢ | $43,956 | +$44 +0.1% | 4 |
| 73d | hd777 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe>99¢ | $2,436 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 73d | Fnfjfiwoc2 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | SellFrances Tiafoe99¢ → 100¢ | $5,100 | −$47 −0.9% | — |
| 73d | blinki | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | SellFrances Tiafoe95¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | −$64 −5.3% | — |
| 73d | blinki | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe94¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$77 +6.4% | 4 |
| 73d |  LarryDaddy2 fills | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | SellFrances Tiafoe40¢ → 100¢ | $11,512 | −$17,624 −153% | — |
| 73d | bordyugaqq | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe93¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$151 +7.5% | 4 |
| 73d | 0xa0f2…1848 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe93¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | +$76 +7.5% | 4 |
| 73d | ferrariChampions2026 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic11¢ → 0¢ | $1,179 | −$1,179 −100% | 6 |
| 73d | Lawsuitevidencaugust20263 fills | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe90¢ → 100¢ | $16,182 | +$1,819 +11% | 5 |
| 73d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe62¢ → 100¢ | $9,739 | +$6,000 +62% | 6 |
| 73d | hurrican | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe91¢ → 100¢ | $8,422 | +$833 +9.9% | 5 |
| 73d | Exalted-Evocation | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe91¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$208 +9.9% | 5 |
| 73d | LarryDaddy4 fills | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe49¢ → 100¢ | $11,200 | +$11,463 +102% | 6 |
| 73d | luminaarx | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe69¢ → 100¢ | $12,206 | +$5,403 +44% | 6 |
| 73d | swy01 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe72¢ → 100¢ | $3,369 | +$1,310 +39% | 6 |
| 73d | ferrariChampions2026 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe71¢ → 100¢ | $2,725 | +$1,113 +41% | 6 |
| 73d | Showy-Emergence | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic29¢ → 0¢ | $1,203 | −$1,203 −100% | 6 |
| 73d | Numb-Ramie | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe72¢ → 100¢ | $1,898 | +$738 +39% | 6 |
| 73d | LarryDaddy | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | SellMarin Cilic29¢ → 0¢ | $6,929 | +$6,929 +100% | — |
| 73d | Sick-Backyard | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | SellMarin Cilic37¢ → 0¢ | $1,626 | +$1,626 +100% | — |
| 73d | LarryDaddy6 fills | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic57¢ → 0¢ | $13,700 | −$13,700 −100% | 6 |
| 73d | swisstony | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe34¢ → 100¢ | $3,224 | +$6,259 +194% | 6 |
| 73d | jerall | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic67¢ → 0¢ | $2,004 | −$2,004 −100% | 6 |
| 73d | EasyMoneyComing | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe36¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$3,556 +178% | 6 |
| 73d | k56 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | SellFrances Tiafoe38¢ → 100¢ | $1,337 | −$2,182 −163% | — |
| 73d | Fnfjfiwoc2 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe34¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$2,168 +195% | 6 |
| 73d | flatbarrel2 fills | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic54¢ → 0¢ | $8,473 | −$8,473 −100% | 6 |
| 73d |  TRCM2 fills | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic46¢ → 0¢ | $6,033 | −$6,033 −100% | 6 |
| 73d | tennischamp14 fills | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe63¢ → 100¢ | $50,859 | +$30,199 +59% | 4 |
| 73d | DrStatistics | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe64¢ → 100¢ | $1,283 | +$717 +56% | 6 |
| 73d |  popsgetthemoney | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe64¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$2,813 +56% | 6 |
| 73d | Substantial-Service3 fills | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic34¢ → 0¢ | $20,474 | −$20,474 −100% | 6 |
| 73d | Sick-Backyard | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic39¢ → 0¢ | $1,455 | −$1,455 −100% | 6 |
| 73d | Vigilant-Environment | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic Set 1 Winner | BuyTiafoe62¢ → 0¢ | $1,223 | −$1,223 −100% | 6 |
| 73d | k56 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe67¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,478 +49% | 4 |
| 73d |  RiskIsForLosers | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe67¢ → 100¢ | $1,942 | +$956 +49% | 4 |
| 73d | AV23IUa | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic34¢ → 0¢ | $5,100 | −$5,100 −100% | 4 |
| 73d | Harmonious-Virus | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe66¢ → 100¢ | $2,175 | +$1,121 +52% | 4 |
| 73d | EVhunter69 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe66¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | +$1,406 +52% | 4 |
| 73d | Hunter33 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe65¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$808 +54% | 4 |
| 73d | dv-pm | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe64¢ → 100¢ | $6,567 | +$3,694 +56% | 4 |
| 73d |  VeryLucky888 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyFrances Tiafoe64¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | +$720 +56% | 4 |
| 73d | riverskew | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic36¢ → 0¢ | $4,900 | −$4,900 −100% | 4 |
one8tyfive13,770 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Marin Cilic in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Marin Cilic. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Frances Tiafoe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic means the market gives it about 100%.