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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | 0% | −57 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud Set 1 Winner | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 1d |
| Completed Match | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud Set 2 Winner | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud Game Spread +/-1.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +20 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 1d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | suntori | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | SellCasper Ruud>99¢ | $2,287 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | Petty-Roof | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | SellCasper Ruud>99¢ | $1,208 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | Idontwantausername | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | SellCasper Ruud>99¢ | $5,039 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | Mealy-Grasp-IdiomNew account | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | SellCasper Ruud>99¢ | $2,260 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | w... | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | SellCasper Ruud>99¢ | $1,201 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | blket | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | SellCasper Ruud>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | MarinM | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | SellCasper Ruud>99¢ | $1,029 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | blket | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BuyCasper Ruud91¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | +$180 +9.9% | 5 |
| 5d | Nikos888 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BuyLearner Tien29¢ → 0¢ | $1,204 | −$1,204 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | kkookkoo | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BuyLearner Tien31¢ → 0¢ | $3,800 | −$3,800 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | Kkunn4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BuyLearner Tien30¢ → 0¢ | $19,466 | −$19,466 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | suntori | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BuyCasper Ruud77¢ → 100¢ | $1,764 | +$527 +30% | 6 |
| 5d |  roro.cypher | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BuyCasper Ruud75¢ → 100¢ | $1,650 | +$550 +33% | 6 |
| 5d | zhaocaimao11 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | SellCasper Ruud73¢ → 100¢ | $2,276 | −$842 −37% | — |
| 5d | Exalted-Evocation | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BuyCasper Ruud73¢ → 100¢ | $1,742 | +$644 +37% | 6 |
| 5d | Exalted-Evocation | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | SellLearner Tien29¢ → 0¢ | $1,204 | +$1,204 +100% | — |
| 5d | Mealy-Grasp-IdiomNew account | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BuyCasper Ruud74¢ → 100¢ | $1,674 | +$588 +35% | 6 |
| 5d | k56 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BuyCasper Ruud58¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$1,804 +72% | 6 |
| 5d | Hellinas | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BuyCasper Ruud45¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,222 +122% | 6 |
| 5d | Nh1989 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BuyCasper Ruud54¢ → 100¢ | $1,528 | +$1,302 +85% | 6 |
| 5d | Mealy-Grasp-IdiomNew account | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 23.5 | BuyOver50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | UpTheBlues | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BuyLearner Tien56¢ → 0¢ | $7,236 | −$7,236 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | HomeRunHazard | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BuyCasper Ruud44¢ → 100¢ | $1,416 | +$1,802 +127% | 6 |
| 5d | Keilerbets | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BuyLearner Tien61¢ → 0¢ | $1,370 | −$1,370 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | SchruteBucks | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BuyCasper Ruud43¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$1,710 +133% | 6 |
| 5d |  tradecraft | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BuyCasper Ruud43¢ → 100¢ | $1,754 | +$2,325 +133% | 6 |
| 5d | Exalted-Evocation | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BuyLearner Tien60¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | tobias5309 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BuyLearner Tien60¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 5d | jtwyslljy | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BuyLearner Tien59¢ → 0¢ | $2,950 | −$2,950 −100% | 6 |
| 5d |  isco22 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BuyCasper Ruud41¢ → 100¢ | $1,084 | +$1,559 +144% | 6 |
| 5d |  0xwise | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BuyCasper Ruud40¢ → 100¢ | $2,722 | +$4,083 +150% | 6 |
| 5d | DrStatistics | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BuyCasper Ruud41¢ → 100¢ | $1,582 | +$2,276 +144% | 4 |
| 5d | JAMJAMJAM4 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BuyLearner Tien60¢ → 0¢ | $1,940 | −$1,940 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | 0x760f…326a | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BuyCasper Ruud42¢ → 100¢ | $10,950 | +$15,121 +138% | 4 |
| 5d | ferrariChampions2026 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud | BuyLearner Tien59¢ → 0¢ | $8,328 | −$8,328 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Casper Ruud in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Casper Ruud. This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Learner Tien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud means the market gives it about 0%.