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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −59 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 Winner | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi Game Spread +/-1.5 | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 2 Winner | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +18 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −59 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9d | StJames1 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $3,930 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 9d | AnonymousPerson | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $2,313 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 9d |  KioskJammer | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $6,379 | −$19 −0.3% | — |
| 9d | Momo63 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $7,493 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 9d | Illiasca | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi98¢ → 100¢ | $7,073 | −$173 −2.4% | — |
| 9d | Trollollollollol | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi97¢ → 100¢ | $10,979 | +$340 +3.1% | 4 |
| 9d | Scotty81532 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi94¢ → 100¢ | $15,879 | +$1,047 +6.6% | 4 |
| 9d | Venusian | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi95¢ → 100¢ | $7,767 | +$409 +5.3% | 4 |
| 9d | Trollollollollol | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi86¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | −$167 −16% | — |
| 9d | HomeRunHazard | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi70¢ → 100¢ | $1,579 | +$677 +43% | 6 |
| 9d | KioskJammer2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi72¢ → 100¢ | $3,586 | +$1,414 +39% | 6 |
| 9d | Flaznorp | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyBernard Tomic31¢ → 0¢ | $1,308 | −$1,308 −100% | 6 |
| 9d | Illiasca | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi69¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$2,246 +45% | 6 |
| 9d | tenet-bot | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi72¢ → 100¢ | $1,584 | +$616 +39% | 6 |
| 9d |  BIess | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyBernard Tomic29¢ → 0¢ | $1,218 | −$1,218 −100% | 6 |
| 9d | 0xbe22…50d6 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi69¢ → 100¢ | $1,417 | +$637 +45% | 6 |
| 9d | StJames1 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi68¢ → 100¢ | $2,675 | +$1,259 +47% | 6 |
| 9d | ferrariChampions2026 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi66¢ → 100¢ | $5,175 | +$2,666 +52% | 4 |
BIess4,350 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Bernard Tomic and Matteo Arnaldi in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bernard Tomic' if Bernard Tomic advances against Matteo Arnaldi. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Bernard Tomic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi means the market gives it about 0%.