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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Set 2 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | 82¢ · 100¢ (18¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Game Spread +/-0.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18d |  E4sy777 | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | SellAlex Molcan>99¢ | $1,033 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | yohwowTheMagiccc | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | SellAlex Molcan>99¢ | $3,455 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | Wide-Swordfish-Latitude | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | SellAlex Molcan>99¢ | $1,705 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | Anson41 | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | SellAlex Molcan>99¢ | $2,440 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | AnonymousPerson | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan>99¢ | $2,554 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 18d | UpTheBlues8 fills | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan87¢ → 100¢ | $10,219 | +$1,544 +15% | 5 |
| 18d | HomeRunHazard | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan90¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$113 +11% | 5 |
| 18d | Madeira99 | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | SellAlex Molcan87¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | −$152 −15% | — |
| 18d | Flaznorp2 fills | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan89¢ → 100¢ | $6,866 | +$838 +12% | 5 |
| 18d | Anson41 | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan97¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | +$71 +3.1% | 4 |
| 18d |  eskk | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | BuyMarco Trungelliti22¢ → 0¢ | $1,201 | −$1,201 −100% | 6 |
| 18d | raybanman7 fills | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan79¢ → 100¢ | $231,427 | +$62,525 +27% | 5 |
| 18d | Wide-Swordfish-Latitude | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan78¢ → 100¢ | $1,272 | +$359 +28% | 10 |
| 18d | Substantial-Service2 fills | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan76¢ → 100¢ | $16,857 | +$5,323 +32% | 6 |
| 18d | Kkunn4 fills | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | BuyMarco Trungelliti27¢ → 0¢ | $11,438 | −$11,438 −100% | 6 |
| 18d | muglishainer | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | BuyMarco Trungelliti35¢ → 0¢ | $1,015 | −$1,015 −100% | 6 |
| 18d | Kkunn | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | SellMarco Trungelliti14¢ → 0¢ | $1,628 | +$1,628 +100% | — |
| 18d | chillballer | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan77¢ → 100¢ | $1,193 | +$356 +30% | 6 |
| 18d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | BuyMarco Trungelliti31¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 6 |
| 18d | Admired-Packet | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan79¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$586 +27% | 5 |
| 18d | yohwowTheMagiccc | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan57¢ → 100¢ | $1,963 | +$1,481 +75% | 6 |
| 18d | Madeira99 | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan62¢ → 100¢ | $2,932 | +$1,831 +62% | 6 |
| 18d | ferrariChampions2026 | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | BuyMarco Trungelliti45¢ → 0¢ | $3,228 | −$3,228 −100% | 6 |
| 18d |  KioskJammer | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan55¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | +$888 +82% | 6 |
| 18d | Sore-Burial | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | BuyMarco Trungelliti43¢ → 0¢ | $4,871 | −$4,871 −100% | 6 |
| 18d | RanaAmariPredicts | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | BuyAlex Molcan58¢ → 100¢ | $11,000 | +$7,941 +72% | 6 |
| 18d | Challenger.777 | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | BuyMarco Trungelliti43¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
eskk7,884 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Alex Molcan in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Alex Molcan. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Marco Trungelliti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan means the market gives it about 0%.