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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 2d |
| Completed Match | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 2d |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 2d |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 2d |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro Game Spread +/-1.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 2d |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 2d |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 2d |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 2d |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro Set 1 Winner | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 2d |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro Set 2 Winner | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 2d |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +20 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 2d |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 2d |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 2d |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 2d |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 2d |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +54 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 2d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | Qinwenwin | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | SellMarco Trungelliti>99¢ | $1,044 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 3d | Dom91 | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | SellMarco Trungelliti>99¢ | $2,863 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 3d | Noteworthy-Cassava-ToothNew account | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | SellMarco Trungelliti>99¢ | $3,198 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 3d | frapyz | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | SellMarco Trungelliti>99¢ | $1,753 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 3d | suntori | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | SellMarco Trungelliti>99¢ | $3,268 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 3d | Dishonest-Faculty | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | SellMarco Trungelliti>99¢ | $1,300 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 3d | Mika06 | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | SellMarco Trungelliti>99¢ | $2,948 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 3d |  MurkSniper | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | SellMarco Trungelliti>99¢ | $1,423 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 3d | xabidaking | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | SellMarco Trungelliti>99¢ | $5,682 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 3d | Theraymondo48 | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | SellMarco Trungelliti>99¢ | $1,110 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 3d |  lasiweijiasi | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | SellMarco Trungelliti>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 3d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | SellMarco Trungelliti>99¢ | $1,714 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 3d | Paul973973 | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | BuyMarco Trungelliti99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$20 +1.0% | 4 |
| 3d | whosay | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | SellMarco Trungelliti92¢ → 100¢ | $2,170 | −$189 −8.7% | — |
| 3d | Dishonest-Faculty | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | BuyMarco Trungelliti93¢ → 100¢ | $1,210 | +$91 +7.5% | 4 |
| 3d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | BuyMarco Trungelliti93¢ → 100¢ | $3,686 | +$266 +7.2% | 4 |
| 3d | Qinwenwin | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | BuyMarco Trungelliti96¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$45 +4.5% | 4 |
| 3d | Noteworthy-Cassava-ToothNew account | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | BuyMarco Trungelliti71¢ → 100¢ | $2,273 | +$928 +41% | 6 |
| 3d | Understandable98 | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | BuyThiago Monteiro46¢ → 0¢ | $3,051 | −$3,051 −100% | 6 |
| 3d | Justluck9 | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | BuyMarco Trungelliti56¢ → 100¢ | $2,240 | +$1,760 +79% | 6 |
| 3d | ferrariChampions2026 | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | BuyThiago Monteiro39¢ → 0¢ | $1,291 | −$1,291 −100% | 6 |
| 3d | BaltazarGombka | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | BuyMarco Trungelliti57¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$1,886 +75% | 6 |
| 3d | 0xa0f2…1848 | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | BuyMarco Trungelliti52¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$960 +92% | 6 |
| 3d | Kkunn | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | BuyMarco Trungelliti35¢ → 100¢ | $10,500 | +$19,500 +186% | 6 |
| 3d | suntori | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | BuyMarco Trungelliti33¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$2,170 +204% | 6 |
| 3d | Mika06 | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | BuyMarco Trungelliti54¢ → 100¢ | $1,593 | +$1,357 +85% | 6 |
| 3d | frapyz | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | BuyMarco Trungelliti57¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$754 +75% | 6 |
| 3d | xabidaking | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | BuyMarco Trungelliti59¢ → 100¢ | $2,343 | +$1,631 +70% | 6 |
| 3d | Luzzzer | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | BuyThiago Monteiro40¢ → 0¢ | $19,345 | −$19,345 −100% | 6 |
| 3d | 0xe7d3…b483 | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | BuyMarco Trungelliti59¢ → 100¢ | $2,027 | +$1,408 +69% | 6 |
| 4d | Dual-Criticism | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro | BuyMarco Trungelliti56¢ → 100¢ | $1,624 | +$1,276 +79% | 6 |
clownly600 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Thiago Monteiro in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Thiago Monteiro. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Monteiro' if Thiago Monteiro advances against Marco Trungelliti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro means the market gives it about 100%.