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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 152d | kahe4 fills | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | SellMariano Navone>99¢ | $27,634 | −$28 −0.1% | — |
| 152d | bigtownjeff | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | SellMariano Navone>99¢ | $6,890 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | RafaelGontero | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | SellMariano Navone>99¢ | $2,094 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | rndmb3 | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | SellMariano Navone>99¢ | $1,809 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 153d |  mirroredtrade-RocWins | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | SellMariano Navone>99¢ | $1,270 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Secondary-Nectar-SnapNew account | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | SellMariano Navone>99¢ | $2,041 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | mojeimeje | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | BuyMariano Navone>99¢ | $18,503 | +$19 +0.1% | 4 |
| 153d | fadsfdfadsf12 fills | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | SellMariano Navone72¢ → 100¢ | $4,959 | −$1,965 −40% | — |
| 153d | C63AMG | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | BuyMariano Navone97¢ → 100¢ | $3,650 | +$117 +3.2% | 4 |
| 153d |  Joking22 | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | SellMariano Navone82¢ → 100¢ | $1,856 | −$395 −21% | — |
| 153d | Ancient-Infarction | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | BuyMarco Trungelliti41¢ → 0¢ | $1,900 | −$1,900 −100% | 4 |
| 153d | rndmb3 | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | BuyMariano Navone62¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | +$688 +61% | 4 |
| 153d | fadsfdfadsf14 fills | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | BuyMariano Navone58¢ → 100¢ | $4,444 | +$3,159 +71% | 4 |
| 153d |  TRCM2 fills | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | BuyMarco Trungelliti57¢ → 0¢ | $4,076 | −$4,076 −100% | 4 |
| 153d | fadsfdfadsf13 fills | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | SellMarco Trungelliti79¢ → 0¢ | $3,999 | +$3,999 +100% | — |
| 153d | TRCM2 fills | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | SellMarco Trungelliti77¢ → 0¢ | $5,126 | +$5,126 +100% | — |
| 153d | TheCoalPredicts | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | SellMarco Trungelliti96¢ → 0¢ | $1,237 | +$1,237 +100% | — |
| 153d | Sick-Backyard | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | SellMarco Trungelliti97¢ → 0¢ | $2,205 | +$2,205 +100% | — |
| 153d |  DanJovel2 fills | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | BuyMarco Trungelliti94¢ → 0¢ | $15,203 | −$15,203 −100% | 4 |
| 153d | Lne89 | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | BuyMarco Trungelliti93¢ → 0¢ | $3,500 | −$3,500 −100% | 4 |
| 153d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | BuyMariano Navone10¢ → 100¢ | $3,729 | +$34,906 +936% | 4 |
| 153d | DanJovel | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | SellMariano Navone10¢ → 100¢ | $1,684 | −$15,150 −900% | — |
| 153d | asapjoshy | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | SellMariano Navone11¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | −$9,204 −810% | — |
| 153d | swisstony3 fills | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | BuyMarco Trungelliti30¢ → 0¢ | $5,424 | −$5,424 −100% | 4 |
| 153d | asapjoshy | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | BuyMariano Navone48¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$5,340 +107% | 4 |
| 153d | swisstony6 fills | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | BuyMariano Navone53¢ → 100¢ | $9,761 | +$8,680 +89% | 4 |
| 153d | fadsfdfadsf14 fills | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | BuyMarco Trungelliti58¢ → 0¢ | $4,444 | −$4,444 −100% | 4 |
| 153d |  tradecraft3 fills | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | SellMarco Trungelliti38¢ → 0¢ | $3,875 | +$3,875 +100% | — |
| 153d | tradecraft | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | BuyMarco Trungelliti64¢ → 0¢ | $1,515 | −$1,515 −100% | 4 |
| 153d | Sick-Backyard | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | BuyMarco Trungelliti44¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 7 |
| 153d | bigtownjeff | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | BuyMariano Navone58¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$2,897 +72% | 4 |
| 153d | TRCM | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | BuyMariano Navone65¢ → 100¢ | $2,925 | +$1,575 +54% | 4 |
| 153d | phredmoz | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | SellMariano Navone71¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | −$444 −41% | — |
| 153d | DanJovel | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | BuyMariano Navone86¢ → 100¢ | $6,100 | +$993 +16% | 4 |
| 153d | phredmoz | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | BuyMariano Navone81¢ → 100¢ | $1,232 | +$289 +23% | 4 |
| 153d | Substantial-Service | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | BuyMarco Trungelliti15¢ → 0¢ | $1,226 | −$1,226 −100% | 4 |
| 153d | ferrariChampions2026 | Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone | BuyMarco Trungelliti15¢ → 0¢ | $8,598 | −$8,598 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Mariano Navone in the Geneva Open, originally scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Mariano Navone. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Marco Trungelliti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Completed Match means the market gives it about 100%.