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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +60 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 Winner | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +18 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +67 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 149d | entropy-py | Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen | SellAlex Michelsen>99¢ | $5,673 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | RafaelGontero | Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen | SellAlex Michelsen>99¢ | $2,677 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | Hard-Ironclad | Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen | SellAlex Michelsen>99¢ | $26,973 | −$27 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | mm12310 | Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen | SellAlex Michelsen>99¢ | $1,920 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | w1n3r | Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen | SellAlex Michelsen>99¢ | $28,375 | −$28 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | Solid-Waste-InjuryNew account | Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen | SellAlex Michelsen>99¢ | $6,381 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | Grizzled-Roundabout2 fills | Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen | SellAlex Michelsen99¢ → 100¢ | $29,434 | −$297 −1.0% | — |
| 149d | Artfulone | Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen | SellAlex Michelsen99¢ → 100¢ | $2,331 | −$24 −1.0% | — |
| 149d | MaxBig2 fills | Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen | SellAlex Michelsen91¢ → 100¢ | $2,306 | −$228 −9.9% | — |
| 149d |  TRCM | Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen | SellAlex Michelsen82¢ → 100¢ | $1,707 | −$375 −22% | — |
| 149d | Solid-Waste-InjuryNew account | Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen82¢ → 100¢ | $4,230 | +$928 +22% | 14 |
| 149d | Grizzled-Roundabout2 fills | Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen68¢ → 100¢ | $19,697 | +$9,449 +48% | 12 |
| 149d | Bouncy-Arrangement | Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen | BuyStan Wawrinka26¢ → 0¢ | $1,596 | −$1,596 −100% | 6 |
| 149d | Artfulone | Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen84¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | +$377 +19% | 5 |
| 149d | HomeRunHazard | Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen71¢ → 100¢ | $4,729 | +$1,953 +41% | 6 |
| 149d | romanh31 | Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen | BuyStan Wawrinka39¢ → 0¢ | $10,000 | −$10,000 −100% | 6 |
| 149d | ChallengerSpecialist | Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen | BuyStan Wawrinka38¢ → 0¢ | $2,662 | −$2,662 −100% | 6 |
| 149d | RafaelGontero | Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen63¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$980 +58% | 6 |
| 149d | TRCM | Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen40¢ → 100¢ | $1,803 | +$2,697 +150% | 6 |
| 149d |  tradecraft | Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen40¢ → 100¢ | $1,785 | +$2,715 +152% | 6 |
| 149d | TRCM2 fills | Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen | BuyStan Wawrinka55¢ → 0¢ | $4,095 | −$4,095 −100% | 6 |
| 149d | HomeRunHazard | Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen | BuyStan Wawrinka43¢ → 0¢ | $2,070 | −$2,070 −100% | 6 |
| 150d | Tobias1909 | Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen61¢ → 100¢ | $1,270 | +$812 +64% | 6 |
| 150d | Homely-AtheistNew account | Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyWawrinka63¢ → 0¢ | $1,164 | −$1,164 −100% | 15 |
4lem2,530 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Stan Wawrinka and Alex Michelsen in the Geneva Open, originally scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stan Wawrinka' if Stan Wawrinka advances against Alex Michelsen. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Stan Wawrinka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen means the market gives it about 0%.