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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | 100% | +35 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +59 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur Game Spread +/-2.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 Winner | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −63 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 Winner | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Completed Match | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 5d |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 5d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | madkkee | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | SellAlexander Zverev>99¢ | $6,514 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 2d |  kamloic | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur Set Handicap +/-1.5 | SellAlexander Zverev99¢ → 100¢ | $1,426 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 2d | Nodik-pr | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | SellAlexander Zverev>99¢ | $1,289 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | Tricky-Inn | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 23.5 | SellUnder99¢ → 100¢ | $1,662 | −$17 −1.0% | — |
| 2d | littlebay | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | SellAlexander Zverev>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | luminaarx | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | SellAlexander Zverev99¢ → 100¢ | $1,308 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 2d | littlebay | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlexander Zverev97¢ → 100¢ | $2,916 | +$84 +2.9% | 4 |
| 2d | UpTheBlues11 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlexander Zverev80¢ → 100¢ | $32,071 | +$8,041 +25% | 4 |
| 2d | Flaznorp3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlexander Zverev79¢ → 100¢ | $4,480 | +$1,224 +27% | 4 |
| 2d | flotide | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | SellAlexander Zverev96¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | −$45 −4.2% | — |
| 2d | Nodik-pr | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlexander Zverev97¢ → 100¢ | $1,251 | +$39 +3.1% | 4 |
| 2d | Momo632 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlexander Zverev91¢ → 100¢ | $8,018 | +$770 +9.6% | 4 |
| 2d | HomeRunHazard4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlexander Zverev72¢ → 100¢ | $6,240 | +$2,427 +39% | 4 |
| 2d | Substantial-Service2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlexander Zverev68¢ → 100¢ | $6,276 | +$2,939 +47% | 4 |
| 2d | bestevertodoit | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlex de Minaur19¢ → 0¢ | $2,379 | −$2,379 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | Tricky-Inn | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 23.5 | BuyUnder67¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | +$554 +49% | 4 |
| 2d | Polyplayer14 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlexander Zverev86¢ → 100¢ | $6,914 | +$1,096 +16% | 4 |
| 2d | ferrariChampions20263 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlexander Zverev71¢ → 100¢ | $25,592 | +$10,223 +40% | 4 |
| 2d | madkkee | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlexander Zverev80¢ → 100¢ | $5,216 | +$1,304 +25% | 4 |
| 2d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlex de Minaur35¢ → 0¢ | $2,424 | −$2,424 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | Exalted-Evocation | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlexander Zverev64¢ → 100¢ | $2,482 | +$1,396 +56% | 4 |
| 2d | Juan12345678 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | SellAlex de Minaur41¢ → 0¢ | $1,421 | +$1,421 +100% | — |
| 2d | shijiebeiwolaile666 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlex de Minaur35¢ → 0¢ | $1,888 | −$1,888 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | neutralwave23 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyAlex de Minaur61¢ → 0¢ | $1,498 | −$1,498 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | Kkunn | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlex de Minaur36¢ → 0¢ | $12,142 | −$12,142 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | TakintheL | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlexander Zverev66¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,030 +52% | 4 |
| 2d | omnibus-076daa | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlexander Zverev65¢ → 100¢ | $1,878 | +$1,011 +54% | 4 |
| 2d | mementomorison | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlexander Zverev65¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | +$546 +54% | 4 |
| 2d |  Arnus | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | BuyOver 2.545¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | dinimami | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 22.5 | BuyOver56¢ → 0¢ | $1,015 | −$1,015 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | jiafan | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlexander Zverev65¢ → 100¢ | $1,781 | +$959 +54% | 4 |
| 2d |  nigiri99 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlex de Minaur36¢ → 0¢ | $1,094 | −$1,094 −100% | 4 |
| 2d | Santafecito | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlexander Zverev65¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$543 +54% | 4 |
| 3d | k56 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlex de Minaur37¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
| 3d | IEC | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlexander Zverev65¢ → 100¢ | $1,624 | +$875 +54% | 4 |
| 3d | dv-pm | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | BuyAlexander Zverev65¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$591 +54% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Alex de Minaur in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Alex de Minaur. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Alexander Zverev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur means the market gives it about 100%.