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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Melbourne FC | 100% | +71 pts | +63 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Draw (South Melbourne FC vs. Adelaide United FC) | 0% | −26 pts | −36 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Adelaide United FC | 0% | −45 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79d | venera1234 | South Melbourne FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,393 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 79d | YYCub | Adelaide United FC | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 79d |  Billionaree | Adelaide United FC | BuyYes52¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 14 |
| 79d | C9usa | Adelaide United FC | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 14 |
This event is for the upcoming Australia Cup game, scheduled for Thursday, July 30, 2026 between South Melbourne FC and Adelaide United FC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for South Melbourne FC means the market gives it about 100%.