Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >1.29 | 100% | +32 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <1.15 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1.15-1.19 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1.20-1.24 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1.25-1.29 | 0% | −25 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 767d |  MisTKy32 fills | >1.29 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,098 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 767d | ZXCVBNM-256 | >1.29 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,406 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 767d |  carp | 1.15-1.19 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,502 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 767d |  aenews24 fills | >1.29 | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $12,185 | +$6,001 +49% | 4 |
| 767d | lesse | >1.29 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,786 | +$135 +7.6% | 4 |
| 767d | Mushina | <1.15 | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,900 | −$1,900 −100% | 8 |
| 769d | carp | 1.20-1.24 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,634 | +$55 +2.1% | 4 |
| 769d | aenews25 fills | 1.20-1.24 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $111,433 | +$4,347 +3.9% | 4 |
| 769d |  WindWalk32 fills | >1.29 | BuyNo39¢ → 0¢ | $4,300 | −$4,300 −100% | 7 |
| 769d |  CavaSoTasty | >1.29 | BuyNo39¢ → 0¢ | $1,950 | −$1,950 −100% | 5 |
| 769d |  gopfan24 fills | 1.20-1.24 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $25,012 | +$3,358 +13% | 7 |
| 769d |  BigMike11 | 1.15-1.19 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$9 +0.8% | 4 |
| 769d | BigMike114 fills | >1.29 | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $8,223 | +$5,177 +63% | 4 |
| 770d | ocelot-204 | >1.29 | SellYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | −$707 −64% | — |
| 770d | ocelot-204 | 1.25-1.29 | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $1,437 | −$1,437 −100% | 4 |
| 771d |  Whome | 1.25-1.29 | SellYes41¢ → 0¢ | $2,434 | +$2,434 +100% | — |
| 771d | Steep-Public | 1.20-1.24 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,328 | +$35 +2.7% | 4 |
| 772d | Variable-Glut | >1.29 | BuyYes42¢ → 100¢ | $2,140 | +$2,955 +138% | 5 |
| 772d | gopfan22 fills | >1.29 | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $5,582 | +$14,538 +260% | 11 |
| 772d | gopfan2 | 1.25-1.29 | SellYes73¢ → 0¢ | $7,971 | +$7,971 +100% | — |
| 773d | OysterFarm | 1.25-1.29 | BuyYes83¢ → 0¢ | $1,685 | −$1,685 −100% | 4 |
| 776d | unscented-nerd - 5386 | 1.25-1.29 | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $2,838 | −$2,838 −100% | 4 |
| 777d | gopfan2 | >1.29 | SellYes17¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | −$5,029 −488% | — |
| 780d | aenews24 fills | 1.15-1.19 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $14,968 | +$1,455 +9.7% | 4 |
| 782d |  JJo | 1.15-1.19 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,182 | +$619 +15% | 5 |
| 782d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | >1.29 | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $4,104 | −$4,104 −100% | 4 |
| 782d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | 1.25-1.29 | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $6,979 | +$4,492 +64% | 6 |
| 786d | gopfan2 | 1.15-1.19 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | +$107 +10% | 4 |
| 787d | aenews23 fills | <1.15 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,563 | +$151 +1.8% | 4 |
| 788d | gopfan2 | 1.25-1.29 | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,362 | −$1,362 −100% | 5 |
| 788d | Steep-Public | >1.29 | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $1,420 | −$1,420 −100% | 7 |
| 792d | Steep-Public | 1.25-1.29 | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,224 | +$576 +47% | 7 |
| 794d |  gopfan | 1.15-1.19 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,952 | +$217 +11% | 4 |
Lyapunov50 sharesAugust 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >1.29 means the market gives it about 100%.